USA USL Championship
Phoenix Rising FC vs Loudoun United FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-111%2-110%1-09%
Expected goals1.85 – 1.11
Avg goals2.96
Our pickHome
Phoenix Rising FC 54%
Draw 24%
Loudoun United FC 22%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 54% | 1.85 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 78% | 1.29 | 1.13 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 56% | 1.80 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.76 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away | 52% | 1.93 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.02 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.62 · Draw 3.80 · Away 4.33 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.0
Phoenix Rising FC
8.9
Expected corners
3.9
Loudoun United FC
Phoenix Rising FC corner stats · Loudoun United FC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 42%
Under 58%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.9 corners in this match, with Phoenix Rising FC winning 5 of them.
- Phoenix Rising FC win 4.69 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.62 over their last 39.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of Phoenix Rising FC matches.
- Across 37 recent matches, Loudoun United FC games produced 9.24 corners on average — 4.84 taken by Loudoun United FC themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of Loudoun United FC matches.
- Games involving Phoenix Rising FC produce 2.62 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 49%.
- Loudoun United FC matches average 2.81 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
- Across their previous 4 meetings, these sides averaged 4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 4 meetings with corner data averaged 9 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (56%).
Phoenix Rising FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | A | D Las Vegas Lights FC | 1–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | D Hartford Athletic | 0–0 | 6–0 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Monterey Bay FC | 3–2 | 9–3 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | L Antelope Valley Alta | 1–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L Colorado Switchbacks FC | 1–3 | 2–14 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | L Oakland Roots | 3–4 | 9–2 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | D El Paso Locomotive FC | 1–1 | 4–0 |
| 2026-06-11 | H | L Louisville City FC | 0–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | L New Mexico United | 0–4 | 8–5 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | W Sacramento Republic | 2–0 | 5–5 |
Loudoun United FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | H | W Hartford Athletic | 2–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Indy Eleven | 1–0 | 3–9 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | D Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | L Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | D Sporting JAX | 2–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-06-25 | A | L Charleston Battery | 1–4 | 2–5 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | D Birmingham Legion FC | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L Rhode Island FC | 1–4 | 1–3 |
| 2026-06-11 | A | L Greenville Triumph SC | 1–3 | 9–4 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | W Richmond Kickers | 2–0 | 5–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Phoenix Rising FC vs Loudoun United FC?
- Our model gives Phoenix Rising FC a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Loudoun United FC 22%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Phoenix Rising FC vs Loudoun United FC?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 42% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.