Coppa Italia
Pisa vs Empoli Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-113%1-011%2-19%
Expected goals1.39 – 1.14
Avg goals2.53
Our pickHome
Pisa 42%
Draw 28%
Empoli 30%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 42% | 2.37 | 1.85 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.30 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Over | 53% | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 52% | 1.94 | 1.95 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away +13% Value | 58% | 1.73 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 9 | Under | 54% | 1.84 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.63 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.85 · Draw 3.40 · Away 4.33 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 9 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.4
Pisa
8.6
Expected corners
4.2
Empoli
Pisa corner stats · Empoli corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 46%
Under 54%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.6 corners here; Pisa are forecast for 4.4.
- Pisa matches average 8.35 total corners (3.58 won per game) across their last 43 with corner data.
- Pisa games clear the 9.5 corner line 37% of the time.
- Empoli win 4.57 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.69 over their last 42.
- Empoli games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- Pisa matches average 2.47 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
- Games involving Empoli produce 2.60 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
- The last 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8 across their last 6 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.25 goals at 53% probability.
Pisa — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Lazio | 1–2 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Napoli | 0–3 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Cremonese | 0–3 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Lecce | 1–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Parma | 0–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-20 | H | L Genoa | 1–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Roma | 0–3 | 3–1 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | L Torino | 0–1 | 1–2 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | L Como | 0–5 | 1–7 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | W Cagliari | 3–1 | 1–5 |
Empoli — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | A | D Livorno | 1–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-08-02 | H | D Spezia | 1–1 | 1–6 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Virtus Entella | 1–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D Monza | 2–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | W Avellino | 1–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Venezia | 0–2 | 6–9 |
| 2026-04-20 | H | D Virtus Entella | 1–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | L Padova | 0–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L Sampdoria | 0–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | W Pescara | 4–2 | 6–9 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Pisa vs Empoli?
- Our model gives Pisa a 42% chance, the draw 28% and Empoli 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Pisa vs Empoli?
- The corner model projects 8.6 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 46% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.