MathPredictions

Coppa Italia

Pisa vs Empoli Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-113%1-011%2-19%
Expected goals1.39 – 1.14
Avg goals2.53
Our pickHome
Pisa 42% Draw 28% Empoli 30%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 42% 2.37 1.85
Double chance Home or away 72% 1.38 1.30
Goals 2.25 Over 53% 1.87 1.83
Both teams to score Yes 52% 1.94 1.95
Asian handicap -0.5 Away +13% Value 58% 1.73 1.95
Corners 9 Under 54% 1.84 1.80
Correct score 1-1 13% 7.63 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.85  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 4.33
Goals 2.25 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95
Corners 9 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.4 Pisa
8.6 Expected corners
4.2 Empoli
Corner line 9.00
Over 46% Under 54%

Match trends

Pisa — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-24 A L Lazio 1–2 1–5
2026-05-17 H L Napoli 0–3 1–6
2026-05-10 A L Cremonese 0–3 1–7
2026-05-02 H L Lecce 1–2 6–1
2026-04-25 A L Parma 0–1 4–7
2026-04-20 H L Genoa 1–2 5–5
2026-04-11 A L Roma 0–3 3–1
2026-04-06 H L Torino 0–1 1–2
2026-03-22 A L Como 0–5 1–7
2026-03-15 H W Cagliari 3–1 1–5

Empoli — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-09 A D Livorno 1–1 3–6
2026-08-02 H D Spezia 1–1 1–6
2026-07-26 H W Virtus Entella 1–0 3–3
2026-05-09 A D Monza 2–2 4–7
2026-05-01 H W Avellino 1–0 4–2
2026-04-25 A L Venezia 0–2 6–9
2026-04-20 H D Virtus Entella 1–1 6–5
2026-04-12 A L Padova 0–1 4–4
2026-04-06 A L Sampdoria 0–1 4–7
2026-03-22 H W Pescara 4–2 6–9

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Pisa vs Empoli?
Our model gives Pisa a 42% chance, the draw 28% and Empoli 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Pisa vs Empoli?
The corner model projects 8.6 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 46% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.