Sweden 1.div Norra
Piteå IF vs Gefle IF Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.59 – 1.55
Avg goals3.14
Our pickHome
Piteå IF 38%
Draw 26%
Gefle IF 36%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +7% Value | 38% | 2.63 | 3.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 50% | 1.98 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 64% | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Home +7% Value | 59% | 1.71 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 59% | 1.68 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.53 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.20 · Draw 3.40 · Away 2.00 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.4
Piteå IF
8.7
Expected corners
4.3
Gefle IF
Piteå IF corner stats · Gefle IF corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 41%
Under 59%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.7 corners in this match, with Piteå IF winning 4.4 of them.
- Piteå IF matches average 9.11 total corners (3.26 won per game) across their last 19 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Piteå IF matches.
- Gefle IF win 3.68 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.06 over their last 31.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 35% of Gefle IF matches.
- Games involving Piteå IF produce 3.63 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 68%.
- Gefle IF matches average 3.19 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 3.3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 12.3 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (50%).
Piteå IF — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | A | L Karlbergs BK | 1–3 | 4–6 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | D AFC Eskilstuna | 2–2 | 2–9 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | L Umeå FC | 0–2 | 1–10 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | L Enköping | 0–2 | 0–6 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | D FC Stockholm Internazionale | 2–2 | 0–6 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D Sollentuna FK | 2–2 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W IFK Stocksund | 3–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | L FBK Karlstad | 1–5 | 0–5 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Vasalunds IF | 2–1 | 4–9 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L FC Arlanda | 1–2 | 2–4 |
Gefle IF — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | H | W IFK Stocksund | 2–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-06-19 | H | L FC Stockholm Internazionale | 0–2 | 4–9 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | L IF Karlstad | 0–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-11 | A | D Falu BS FK | 0–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | L Hammarby TFF | 0–4 | 4–5 |
| 2026-06-02 | A | W FC Arlanda | 3–2 | 0–8 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L FC Järfälla | 0–4 | 8–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | D Assyriska Föreningen | 0–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | L Vasalunds IF | 0–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D Umeå FC | 2–2 | 3–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Piteå IF vs Gefle IF?
- Our model gives Piteå IF a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Gefle IF 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Piteå IF vs Gefle IF?
- The corner model projects 8.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 41% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.