MathPredictions
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USA USL Championship

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 19′ 0–0

Corners0–1
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–2
Shots off target0–2
Attacks20–35
Dangerous attacks10–17
Possession33%–67%
Predicted score 0-015%1-114%0-114%
Expected goals0.96 – 0.99
Avg goals1.95
Our pickAway
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 33% Draw 32% Sacramento Republic 34%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 34% 2.91 3.20
Double chance – Home or away 68% 1.48 1.29
Goals 2.25 Under +13% Value 64% 1.56 1.83
Both teams to score – No 61% 1.65 1.62
Asian handicap -0.25 Away +6% Value 60% 1.66 1.90
Corners 9.5 Under 70% 1.44 1.95
Correct score – 0-0 +18% Value 15% 6.76 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.15  ·  Draw 3.00  ·  Away 3.20
Goals 2 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90
Corners 8 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.7 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
8.0 Expected corners
4.2 Sacramento Republic

Pittsburgh Riverhounds corner stats · Sacramento Republic corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 30% Under 70%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8 corners here; Pittsburgh Riverhounds are forecast for 3.7.
  • Across 40 recent matches, Pittsburgh Riverhounds games produced 8.45 corners on average — 4.40 taken by Pittsburgh Riverhounds themselves.
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds games clear the 9.5 corner line 40% of the time.
  • Sacramento Republic matches average 9.17 total corners (5.34 won per game) across their last 41 with corner data.
  • Sacramento Republic games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds matches average 2.05 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
  • Games involving Sacramento Republic produce 2.12 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 37%.
  • The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 1 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 9 across their last 3 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 64% probability.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 A W Oakland Roots 1–0 0–4
2026-07-30 H L Tulsa 0–1 1–4
2026-07-26 H L Rhode Island FC 0–1 6–4
2026-07-19 H W Louisville City FC 3–1 2–7
2026-07-16 A L Sporting JAX 1–2 2–1
2026-07-12 H W Loudoun United FC 2–0 3–2
2026-07-05 H L Brooklyn FC 0–2 6–4
2026-06-21 A D Hartford Athletic 0–0 3–12
2026-06-14 H W Indy Eleven 1–0 4–4
2026-06-07 A D Charleston Battery 0–0 4–10

Sacramento Republic — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-06 A L Tulsa 0–1 2–4
2026-08-02 H W Sporting JAX 5–0 4–0
2026-07-26 A W Oakland Roots 3–1 7–3
2026-07-19 A D Charleston Battery 1–1 5–6
2026-07-12 A L AC Boise 0–2 8–1
2026-07-09 H W Rhode Island FC 2–1 7–3
2026-06-21 H L New Mexico United 0–1 5–3
2026-06-14 A W Colorado Switchbacks FC 1–0 1–4
2026-06-07 H D Monterey Bay FC 1–1 6–6
2026-05-31 A L Phoenix Rising FC 0–2 5–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic?
Our model gives Pittsburgh Riverhounds a 33% chance, the draw 32% and Sacramento Republic 34%. The most likely score is 0-0.
How many corners are expected in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic?
The corner model projects 8.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 30% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.