Panama Liga Prom
Plaza Amador Reserves vs Alianza FC Panama Reserves Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 79′ 2–1
Corners3–5
Yellow cards1–2
Shots on target8–8
Shots off target9–2
Attacks63–47
Dangerous attacks39–28
Possession60%–40%
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.63 – 1.12
Avg goals3.75
Our pickHome
Plaza Amador Reserves 69%
Draw 18%
Alianza FC Panama Reserves 13%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 69% | 1.45 | 1.45 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 87% | 1.15 | 1.07 |
| Goals | 3 | Over +16% Value | 65% | 1.54 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Home +6% Value | 54% | 1.85 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 10 | Under | 52% | 1.92 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +91% Value | 9% | 10.99 | 21.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.45 · Draw 4.10 · Away 5.25 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.9
Plaza Amador Reserves
9.8
Expected corners
3.9
Alianza FC Panama Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves corner stats · Alianza FC Panama Reserves corner stats
Corner line 10.00
Over 48%
Under 52%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.8 corners here; Plaza Amador Reserves are forecast for 5.9.
- Across 33 recent matches, Plaza Amador Reserves games produced 9.24 corners on average — 5.30 taken by Plaza Amador Reserves themselves.
- Plaza Amador Reserves games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
- Alianza FC Panama Reserves matches average 8.96 total corners (4.12 won per game) across their last 26 with corner data.
- Alianza FC Panama Reserves games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- Plaza Amador Reserves matches average 4.30 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% of them.
- Games involving Alianza FC Panama Reserves produce 3.19 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 58%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.5 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 3.00 goals at 65% probability.
Plaza Amador Reserves — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Potros Del Este | 0–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | D CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 4–4 | 7–6 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | D Academia Costa Del Este | 1–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-05 | A | D Academia Costa Del Este | 2–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-30 | A | W San Martin FC | 2–0 | 6–0 |
| 2026-04-24 | H | D Alianza FC Panama Reserves | 1–1 | 5–11 |
| 2026-04-16 | A | W Chorrillo | 4–0 | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-10 | H | W Potros Del Este | 4–1 | 7–6 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | W Tauro FC Reserves | 4–1 | 9–1 |
| 2026-03-13 | H | D UMECIT Reserves | 3–3 | 7–2 |
Alianza FC Panama Reserves — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | A | D Plaza Amador Reserves | 1–1 | 11–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W Potros Del Este | 2–1 | 4–8 |
| 2026-04-10 | H | W Tauro FC Reserves | 2–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-04-02 | H | L San Martin FC | 0–1 | 8–7 |
| 2026-03-27 | H | L Panama City FC | 2–5 | 2–3 |
| 2026-03-12 | H | W Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 2–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-03-07 | A | L CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 2–5 | 3–8 |
| 2026-02-27 | H | D Academia Costa Del Este | 0–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-02-21 | A | W Champions FC Academy | 4–1 | 2–10 |
| 2026-02-06 | H | L Plaza Amador Reserves | 0–1 | 3–8 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Plaza Amador Reserves vs Alianza FC Panama Reserves?
- Our model gives Plaza Amador Reserves a 69% chance, the draw 18% and Alianza FC Panama Reserves 13%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in Plaza Amador Reserves vs Alianza FC Panama Reserves?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 48% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.