Uruguay Segunda
Plaza Colonia vs Miramar Misiones Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.27 – 0.85
Avg goals2.11
Our pickHome
Plaza Colonia 45%
Draw 32%
Miramar Misiones 24%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 45% | 2.23 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 76% | 1.31 | 1.27 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under +5% Value | 59% | 1.70 | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 55% | 1.81 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.01 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.15 · Draw 3.10 · Away 3.10 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 2.03 · Under 1.78 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.6
Plaza Colonia
9.8
Expected corners
4.3
Miramar Misiones
Plaza Colonia corner stats · Miramar Misiones corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 54%
Under 46%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.8 corners here; Plaza Colonia are forecast for 5.6.
- Plaza Colonia matches average 9.16 total corners (4.65 won per game) across their last 37 with corner data.
- Plaza Colonia games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
- Miramar Misiones win 3.97 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.33 over their last 33.
- Miramar Misiones games clear the 9.5 corner line 36% of the time.
- Plaza Colonia matches average 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.
- Games involving Miramar Misiones produce 2.48 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 52%.
- The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.3 across their last 3 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 59% probability.
Plaza Colonia — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Tacuarembo | 2–0 | 3–8 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | L CA River Plate | 2–3 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W La Luz | 1–0 | 2–9 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | L Cerrito | 0–1 | 8–8 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | L CA Atenas | 1–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-06-15 | A | W Paysandu FC | 2–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | D Huracan FC | 0–0 | 9–1 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L Uruguay Montevideo | 0–2 | 7–6 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | D Club Oriental | 1–1 | 5–0 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W Colon FC | 1–0 | 3–7 |
Miramar Misiones — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | L La Luz | 0–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | L Cerrito | 0–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-07 | H | D CA Atenas | 1–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | W Paysandu FC | 3–2 | 4–1 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | L Huracan FC | 0–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W Uruguay Montevideo | 3–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-06-08 | H | D Club Oriental | 2–2 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Colon FC | 3–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-26 | H | D Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Rentistas | 0–1 | 4–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Plaza Colonia vs Miramar Misiones?
- Our model gives Plaza Colonia a 45% chance, the draw 32% and Miramar Misiones 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Plaza Colonia vs Miramar Misiones?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 54% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.