UK Friendlies
Plymouth vs Bristol City Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.59 – 1.49
Avg goals3.08
Our pickHome
Plymouth 39%
Draw 26%
Bristol City 35%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 39% | 2.56 | 2.45 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 59% | 1.68 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.35 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.45 · Draw 3.40 · Away 2.45 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.4
Plymouth
9.6
Expected corners
5.3
Bristol City
Plymouth corner stats · Bristol City corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 51%
Under 49%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.6 corners in this match, with Plymouth winning 4.4 of them.
- Across 58 recent matches, Plymouth games produced 11.38 corners on average — 5.67 taken by Plymouth themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 76% of Plymouth matches.
- Bristol City matches average 10.07 total corners (4.89 won per game) across their last 55 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of Bristol City matches.
- Games involving Plymouth produce 3.03 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
- Bristol City matches average 2.69 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
- Across their previous 8 meetings, these sides averaged 2.9 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 8 meetings with corner data averaged 9.8 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (59%).
Plymouth — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Truro City | 1–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | W Torquay | 1–0 | 2–9 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Plymouth Parkway | 4–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Northampton | 3–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Port Vale | 2–1 | 6–11 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | D Bradford | 1–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W AFC Wimbledon | 3–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | D Exeter | 2–2 | 12–2 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | W Barnsley | 3–0 | 8–4 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | L Bolton | 1–2 | 4–4 |
Bristol City — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | W Newcastle | 4–1 | 1–17 |
| 2026-07-30 | A | L Forest Green | 2–3 | 3–11 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Swindon | 3–1 | 11–7 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | L Stockport | 0–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Stoke | 2–0 | 2–15 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Birmingham | 1–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | D Southampton | 2–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Norwich | 2–4 | 2–10 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | D QPR | 0–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | W Sheff Utd | 1–0 | 0–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Plymouth vs Bristol City?
- Our model gives Plymouth a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Bristol City 35%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Plymouth vs Bristol City?
- The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.