MathPredictions

UK Friendlies

Plymouth vs Bristol City Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.59 – 1.49
Avg goals3.08
Our pickHome
Plymouth 39% Draw 26% Bristol City 35%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 39% 2.56 2.45
Double chance Home or away 74% 1.35 1.23
Goals 2.5 Over 59% 1.68 1.98
Both teams to score Yes 63% 1.59
Corners 9.5 Over 51% 1.95
Correct score 1-1 12% 8.35 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.45  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 2.45
Goals 3 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.4 Plymouth
9.6 Expected corners
5.3 Bristol City
Corner line 9.50
Over 51% Under 49%

Match trends

Plymouth — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W Truro City 1–0 5–7
2026-07-22 A W Torquay 1–0 2–9
2026-07-11 A W Plymouth Parkway 4–1 8–4
2026-05-02 A W Northampton 3–2 8–2
2026-04-25 H W Port Vale 2–1 6–11
2026-04-22 A D Bradford 1–1 4–5
2026-04-18 A W AFC Wimbledon 3–1 7–5
2026-04-11 H D Exeter 2–2 12–2
2026-04-06 A W Barnsley 3–0 8–4
2026-04-03 H L Bolton 1–2 4–4

Bristol City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H W Newcastle 4–1 1–17
2026-07-30 A L Forest Green 2–3 3–11
2026-07-25 A W Swindon 3–1 11–7
2026-07-17 A L Stockport 0–2 4–4
2026-05-02 H W Stoke 2–0 2–15
2026-04-25 A L Birmingham 1–2 5–6
2026-04-22 A D Southampton 2–2 3–7
2026-04-18 H L Norwich 2–4 2–10
2026-04-11 A D QPR 0–0 6–3
2026-04-06 H W Sheff Utd 1–0 0–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Plymouth vs Bristol City?
Our model gives Plymouth a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Bristol City 35%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Plymouth vs Bristol City?
The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.