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Poland I Liga

Pogon Siedlce vs Termalica BB Nieciecza Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.24 – 1.39
Avg goals2.63
Our pickAway
Pogon Siedlce 32% Draw 29% Termalica BB Nieciecza 39%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 39% 2.54 2.10
Double chance – Home or away 71% 1.40 1.17
Goals 2.25 Over 56% 1.78 2.03
Both teams to score – Yes 55% 1.83 1.91
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 54% 1.85 1.90
Corners 9.5 Over 66% 1.51 –
Correct score – 1-1 +9% Value 14% 7.32 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.63  ·  Draw 3.90  ·  Away 2.10
Goals 2.5 Over 2.03  ·  Under 1.78
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.4 Pogon Siedlce
11.0 Expected corners
5.6 Termalica BB Nieciecza

Pogon Siedlce corner stats · Termalica BB Nieciecza corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 66% Under 34%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 11 corners in this match, with Pogon Siedlce winning 5.4 of them.
  • Across 36 recent matches, Pogon Siedlce games produced 11.36 corners on average — 4.25 taken by Pogon Siedlce themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 69% of Pogon Siedlce matches.
  • Termalica BB Nieciecza matches average 9.87 total corners (4.23 won per game) across their last 39 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 56% of Termalica BB Nieciecza matches.
  • Games involving Pogon Siedlce produce 2.36 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
  • Termalica BB Nieciecza matches average 3.38 goals, with both teams scoring in 72% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.25 (56%).

Pogon Siedlce — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H D LKS Lodz 1–1 3–10
2026-07-11 H D Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2–2 3–5
2026-07-04 A L Jagiellonia Bialystok 1–4 3–5
2026-05-24 A L Wisla Krakow 0–2 1–6
2026-05-16 H L Stal Mielec 1–3 5–5
2026-05-10 H L Stal Rzeszow 1–2 3–4
2026-05-03 A L LKS Lodz 0–4 2–4
2026-04-26 H W Miedz Legnica 2–0 6–14
2026-04-12 H L GKS Tychy 0–1 3–5
2026-04-05 A L Slask Wroclaw 0–1 5–8

Termalica BB Nieciecza — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Ruch Chorzow 2–0 4–9
2026-07-18 H D Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1–1 5–4
2026-07-17 A W Korona Kielce 2–0 0–8
2026-07-04 H W Resovia Rzeszow 4–0 1–2
2026-06-27 A W Wisla Krakow 4–3 3–12
2026-05-23 H W Lechia Gdansk 3–2 2–10
2026-05-19 A W Arka Gdynia 3–2 4–2
2026-05-10 H L Legia Warsaw 0–1 6–1
2026-05-03 A L GKS Katowice 1–5 9–3
2026-04-25 A W Zaglebie Lubin 2–1 4–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Pogon Siedlce vs Termalica BB Nieciecza?
Our model gives Pogon Siedlce a 32% chance, the draw 29% and Termalica BB Nieciecza 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Pogon Siedlce vs Termalica BB Nieciecza?
The corner model projects 11.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 66% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.