MathPredictions

South Korea K League 1

Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.25 – 1.16
Avg goals2.40
Our pickHome
Pohang Steelers 37% Draw 30% Gimcheon Sangmu FC 33%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 37% 2.70 2.05
Double chance Home or away 70% 1.43 1.28
Goals 2.25 Under 50% 2.00 1.90
Both teams to score Yes 50% 2.00 1.91
Asian handicap -0.25 Away +12% Value 56% 1.78 2.03
Corners 8 Over 54% 1.87 1.78
Correct score 1-1 14% 6.97 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.05  ·  Draw 3.20  ·  Away 3.40
Goals 2.25 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.78  ·  Away 2.03
Corners 8 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.1 Pohang Steelers
8.2 Expected corners
4.1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Corner line 8.00
Over 54% Under 46%

Match trends

Pohang Steelers — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H L Jeonbuk Motors 0–2 7–1
2026-07-22 A L FC Seoul 1–3 3–7
2026-07-18 A L Jeju United 1–2 7–4
2026-07-11 A W Gwangju FC 3–0 2–7
2026-07-04 A W FC Anyang 3–2 2–1
2026-05-17 A L Bucheon FC 1995 0–2 6–2
2026-05-12 A W Incheon Utd 1–0 4–7
2026-05-09 A W Daejeon Hana Citizen 2–0 5–1
2026-05-05 A D Gangwon FC 1–1 3–5
2026-05-02 A W Ulsan HD 1–0 2–11

Gimcheon Sangmu FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 H W Suwon FC 2–1 2–2
2026-07-25 H W Daejeon Hana Citizen 3–2 3–6
2026-07-22 A D Gwangju FC 1–1 11–1
2026-07-18 A L Gangwon FC 0–2 3–12
2026-07-11 H D Bucheon FC 1995 1–1 4–4
2026-07-05 H D Jeju United 1–1 3–1
2026-05-17 A L Jeonbuk Motors 0–1 1–6
2026-05-13 A D FC Anyang 2–2 3–1
2026-05-09 H L Incheon Utd 0–3 4–4
2026-05-05 H L Ulsan HD 1–2 7–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our model gives Pohang Steelers a 37% chance, the draw 30% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
The corner model projects 8.2 total corners. Over 8.00 corners is rated at 54% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.