South Korea K League 1
Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.25 – 1.16
Avg goals2.40
Our pickHome
Pohang Steelers 37%
Draw 30%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 33%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 37% | 2.70 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 70% | 1.43 | 1.28 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under | 50% | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 50% | 2.00 | 1.91 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away +12% Value | 56% | 1.78 | 2.03 |
| Corners | 8 | Over | 54% | 1.87 | 1.78 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 6.97 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.05 · Draw 3.20 · Away 3.40 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.78 · Away 2.03 |
| Corners 8 | Over 1.78 · Under 2.03 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.1
Pohang Steelers
8.2
Expected corners
4.1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Pohang Steelers corner stats · Gimcheon Sangmu FC corner stats
Corner line 8.00
Over 54%
Under 46%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.2 corners in this match, with Pohang Steelers winning 4.1 of them.
- Across 42 recent matches, Pohang Steelers games produced 8.36 corners on average — 4.86 taken by Pohang Steelers themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 36% of Pohang Steelers matches.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC matches average 8.63 total corners (4.77 won per game) across their last 35 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Gimcheon Sangmu FC matches.
- Games involving Pohang Steelers produce 1.86 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 33%.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC matches average 2.77 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 7.1 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (50%).
Pohang Steelers — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Jeonbuk Motors | 0–2 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | L FC Seoul | 1–3 | 3–7 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Jeju United | 1–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Gwangju FC | 3–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W FC Anyang | 3–2 | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Bucheon FC 1995 | 0–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | W Incheon Utd | 1–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | W Daejeon Hana Citizen | 2–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-05 | A | D Gangwon FC | 1–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Ulsan HD | 1–0 | 2–11 |
Gimcheon Sangmu FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | W Suwon FC | 2–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Daejeon Hana Citizen | 3–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | D Gwangju FC | 1–1 | 11–1 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Gangwon FC | 0–2 | 3–12 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | D Bucheon FC 1995 | 1–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | D Jeju United | 1–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Jeonbuk Motors | 0–1 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | D FC Anyang | 2–2 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | L Incheon Utd | 0–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-05 | H | L Ulsan HD | 1–2 | 7–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
- Our model gives Pohang Steelers a 37% chance, the draw 30% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
- The corner model projects 8.2 total corners. Over 8.00 corners is rated at 54% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.