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Poland III Liga

Polonia Lidzbark vs Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.88 – 1.10
Avg goals2.97
Our pickHome
Polonia Lidzbark 55% Draw 25% Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 21%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +30% Value 55% 1.83 2.38
Double chance – Home or draw +13% Value 79% 1.26 1.43
Goals 2.5 Over 57% 1.75 1.83
Both teams to score – Yes 57% 1.74 –
Corners 9.5 Over 69% 1.46 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.64 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.38  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 2.40
Goals 3 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

7.0 Polonia Lidzbark
11.3 Expected corners
4.3 Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

Polonia Lidzbark corner stats · Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 69% Under 31%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 11.3 corners in this match, with Polonia Lidzbark winning 7 of them.
  • Across 14 recent matches, Polonia Lidzbark games produced 11.64 corners on average — 6.93 taken by Polonia Lidzbark themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 64% of Polonia Lidzbark matches.
  • Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki matches average 11.42 total corners (4.50 won per game) across their last 26 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 73% of Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki matches.
  • Games involving Polonia Lidzbark produce 3.36 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 71%.
  • Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki matches average 3.12 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (57%).

Polonia Lidzbark — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-16 H L Olimpia Elblag 0–2 4–2
2026-06-13 H W Granica Ketrzyn 3–2 4–4
2026-06-06 A W Sokol Ostroda 2–0 6–5
2026-05-31 H D Stomil Olsztyn 1–1 3–7
2026-05-09 A W Mragowia Mragowo 4–1 8–4
2026-05-07 H W Pisa Barczewo 4–1 8–8
2026-04-11 A W DKS Dobre Miasto 2–1 6–3
2025-10-26 A W Stomil Olsztyn 2–1 5–4
2025-09-20 H D Start Nidzica 1–1 19–7
2025-09-13 A L Mamry Gizycko 2–3 5–4

Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-15 A L Pelikan Lowicz 1–2 8–4
2026-05-30 A L Wigry Suwalki 2–3 6–6
2026-05-23 H L Wisla Plock II 2–3 7–5
2026-05-17 A L Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki 0–2 4–3
2026-05-13 H W LKS Lomza 3–2 3–11
2026-05-03 H L GKS Wikielec 2–4 5–7
2026-04-27 A W Bron Radom 1–0 2–9
2026-04-18 H D Zabkovia Zabki 3–3 0–4
2026-04-03 H L Olimpia Elblag 0–1 8–8
2026-03-29 A L Warta Sieradz 1–3 2–7

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Polonia Lidzbark vs Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki?
Our model gives Polonia Lidzbark a 55% chance, the draw 25% and Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Polonia Lidzbark vs Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki?
The corner model projects 11.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 69% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.