Poland I Liga
Polonia Warsaw vs Unia Skierniewice Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.58 – 1.40
Avg goals2.98
Our pickHome
Polonia Warsaw 41%
Draw 27%
Unia Skierniewice 33%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 41% | 2.46 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.36 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over +10% Value | 57% | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes +12% Value | 61% | 1.64 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away +17% Value | 66% | 1.52 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.08 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.70 · Draw 3.40 · Away 4.33 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.6
Polonia Warsaw
11.1
Expected corners
5.5
Unia Skierniewice
Polonia Warsaw corner stats · Unia Skierniewice corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 67%
Under 33%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 11.1 corners here; Polonia Warsaw are forecast for 5.6.
- Polonia Warsaw matches average 11.69 total corners (6.56 won per game) across their last 39 with corner data.
- Polonia Warsaw games clear the 9.5 corner line 74% of the time.
- Unia Skierniewice win 5.85 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.74 over their last 34.
- Unia Skierniewice games clear the 9.5 corner line 59% of the time.
- Polonia Warsaw matches average 2.97 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
- Games involving Unia Skierniewice produce 3.29 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 68%.
- The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11.6 across their last 5 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 57% probability.
Polonia Warsaw — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | W Puszcza Niepolomice | 1–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | L FC Zlin | 0–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Wisla Plock | 0–3 | 3–7 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Znicz Pruszków | 2–3 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-29 | A | L Wieczysta Krakow | 2–3 | 5–9 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Odra Opole | 2–1 | 10–8 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Wisla Krakow | 0–1 | 7–10 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W Gornik Leczna | 2–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-05-05 | A | L Polonia Bytom | 2–3 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Chrobry Glogow | 1–0 | 9–1 |
Unia Skierniewice — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Stal Mielec | 1–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W KKS Kalisz | 4–0 | 11–2 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | L Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 0–1 | 1–3 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L KKS Kalisz | 1–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | L Chojniczanka Chojnice | 2–3 | 4–9 |
| 2026-05-15 | A | W LKS Lodz II | 3–1 | 11–1 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | W Resovia Rzeszow | 2–1 | 5–8 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Sokol Kleczew | 2–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Slask Wroclaw II | 0–2 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-13 | H | D Sandecja Nowy Sacz | 2–2 | 7–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Polonia Warsaw vs Unia Skierniewice?
- Our model gives Polonia Warsaw a 41% chance, the draw 27% and Unia Skierniewice 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Polonia Warsaw vs Unia Skierniewice?
- The corner model projects 11.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 67% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.