Who is predicted to win Pontardawe Town vs Caerphilly Athletic?

Our model gives Pontardawe Town a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Caerphilly Athletic 41%. The most likely score is 1-1.

How are these predictions calculated?

Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.

Wales Championship South

Pontardawe Town vs Caerphilly Athletic Prediction

Kickoff (UTC): Sat 1 Aug 2026, 13:30

Predicted score 1-1

Expected goals1.52 – 1.71

Avg goals3.23

Our pickAway

Pontardawe Town 33% Draw 25% Caerphilly Athletic 41%

Markets

Market	Line	Our pick	Probability	Fair odds	Odds
Match result (1X2)	–	Away	41%	2.41	2.10
Double chance	–	Home or away	75%	1.34	1.18
Goals	3	Over	52%	1.92	1.83
Both teams to score	–	Yes	65%	1.54	–
Asian handicap	0.25	Home	53%	1.90	1.88
Correct score	–	1-1	11%	8.84	8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2)	Home 2.70 · Draw 3.75 · Away 2.10
Goals 3	Over 1.83 · Under 1.98
Asian handicap 0.25	Home 1.88 · Away 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

The model leans Over 3.00 goals at 52% probability.

Pontardawe Town — last 1 matches

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score	Corners
2026-06-27	A	L Cardiff Met Uni	0–5	2–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Pontardawe Town vs Caerphilly Athletic?: Our model gives Pontardawe Town a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Caerphilly Athletic 41%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?: Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.