MathPredictions
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Australia Darwin Premier League

Port Darwin FC vs Darwin Hearts Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

FT 4–4 (HT 1–2)

Corners3–4
Yellow cards1–5
Shots on target9–5
Shots off target4–6
Attacks101–99
Dangerous attacks59–45
Possession37%–63%
Predicted score 2-2
Expected goals2.46 – 2.09
Avg goals4.55
Our pickHome
Port Darwin FC 47% Draw 20% Darwin Hearts 33%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 47% 2.14 2.10
Double chance – Home or away 80% 1.25 1.12
Goals 4.25 Over 53% 1.90 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 81% 1.24 –
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 52% 1.92 2.00
Corners 9.5 Over 50% 2.00 1.95
Correct score – 2-2 7% 14.33 12.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.10  ·  Draw 4.33  ·  Away 2.40
Goals 4.25 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80
Corners 9.5 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.0 Port Darwin FC
9.5 Expected corners
4.5 Darwin Hearts

Port Darwin FC corner stats · Darwin Hearts corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 50% Under 50%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.5 corners here; Port Darwin FC are forecast for 5.
  • Across 23 recent matches, Port Darwin FC games produced 10.04 corners on average — 5.78 taken by Port Darwin FC themselves.
  • Port Darwin FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 52% of the time.
  • Darwin Hearts matches average 8.82 total corners (4.27 won per game) across their last 22 with corner data.
  • Darwin Hearts games clear the 9.5 corner line 36% of the time.
  • Port Darwin FC matches average 5.39 goals, with both teams scoring in 78% of them.
  • Games involving Darwin Hearts produce 4.09 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.7 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 10 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 4.25 goals at 53% probability.

Port Darwin FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-31 H D Darwin Hearts 4–4 3–4
2026-07-25 A L Darwin Olympic 0–1 4–3
2026-07-02 A W Darwin Olympic 4–3 3–5
2026-06-25 A L Darwin Hearts 1–3 5–6
2026-06-20 H W Palmerston Rovers FC 10–0 14–2
2026-06-13 A L Mindil Aces 0–8 7–5
2026-05-30 H W Garuda FC 5–3 8–2
2026-05-24 A W Hellenic AC 6–2 7–6
2026-05-20 A L University Azzurri FC 1–6 8–4
2026-05-16 H W Darwin Olympic 6–1 6–3

Darwin Hearts — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-31 A D Port Darwin FC 4–4 4–3
2026-07-23 A W Garuda FC 3–2 1–5
2026-07-18 H W Hellenic AC 2–1 1–3
2026-06-28 A W Darwin Olympic 3–2 5–4
2026-06-25 H W Port Darwin FC 3–1 6–5
2026-06-21 A W Casuarina FC 2–0 8–3
2026-06-06 A L Mindil Aces 0–4 6–3
2026-05-31 H L Palmerston Rovers FC 3–4 5–5
2026-05-23 A L University Azzurri FC 1–4 6–1
2026-05-12 A W Hellenic AC 3–2 5–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Port Darwin FC vs Darwin Hearts?
Our model gives Port Darwin FC a 47% chance, the draw 20% and Darwin Hearts 33%. The most likely score is 2-2.
How many corners are expected in Port Darwin FC vs Darwin Hearts?
The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.