Venezuela Primera Division
Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.05 – 1.30
Avg goals2.35
Our pickAway
Portuguesa FC 29%
Draw 30%
Carabobo 41%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 41% | 2.45 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 71% | 1.40 | 1.29 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under | 52% | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 51% | 1.95 | 1.80 |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Away | 59% | 1.71 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9 | Under | 54% | 1.84 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 6.98 | 6.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.00 · Draw 3.00 · Away 2.25 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 9 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.1
Portuguesa FC
8.7
Expected corners
4.6
Carabobo
Portuguesa FC corner stats · Carabobo corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 46%
Under 54%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.7 corners here; Portuguesa FC are forecast for 4.1.
- Portuguesa FC matches average 8.90 total corners (4.45 won per game) across their last 31 with corner data.
- Portuguesa FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
- Carabobo win 5.13 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.09 over their last 55.
- Carabobo games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
- Portuguesa FC matches average 2.58 goals, with both teams scoring in 45% of them.
- Games involving Carabobo produce 2.24 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 40%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.6 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 52% probability.
Portuguesa FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | A | W UCV | 3–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L Deportivo La Guaira | 0–2 | 6–7 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | W Academia Puerto Cabello | 1–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | L Academia Puerto Cabello | 1–2 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D Deportivo La Guaira | 1–1 | 0–10 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | D UCV | 1–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W UCV | 3–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-21 | A | D Deportivo La Guaira | 0–0 | 0–6 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | W Academia Puerto Cabello | 3–0 | 1–5 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L Estudiantes Merida | 1–2 | 5–8 |
Carabobo — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | H | W Academia Puerto Cabello | 2–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | W Metropolitanos FC | 5–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | L Bragantino | 0–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | D Deportivo Tachira | 1–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | W Blooming | 2–0 | 5–10 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | W Estudiantes Merida | 2–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W Estudiantes Merida | 1–0 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Deportivo Tachira | 1–3 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-08 | H | L River Plate | 1–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | D Metropolitanos FC | 0–0 | 6–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo?
- Our model gives Portuguesa FC a 29% chance, the draw 30% and Carabobo 41%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo?
- The corner model projects 8.7 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 46% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.