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Finland Kolmonen

Poxyt vs LePa Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals2.11 – 1.62
Avg goals3.72
Our pickHome
Poxyt 48% Draw 23% LePa 29%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 48% 2.07 1.67
Double chance – Home or away 77% 1.29 1.12
Goals 4 Under +17% Value 61% 1.65 1.98
Both teams to score – Yes 71% 1.40 –
Asian handicap -0.5 Away 52% 1.94 1.95
Corners 9.5 Under 55% 1.81 –
Correct score – 1-1 +9% Value 9% 11.05 12.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.67  ·  Draw 4.50  ·  Away 3.40
Goals 4 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.8 Poxyt
9.0 Expected corners
4.3 LePa

Poxyt corner stats · LePa corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 45% Under 55%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9 corners here; Poxyt are forecast for 4.8.
  • Across 17 recent matches, Poxyt games produced 8.18 corners on average — 3.94 taken by Poxyt themselves.
  • Poxyt games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
  • LePa matches average 9.55 total corners (4.27 won per game) across their last 11 with corner data.
  • LePa games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
  • Poxyt matches average 3.76 goals, with both teams scoring in 77% of them.
  • Games involving LePa produce 3.36 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
  • The model leans Under 4.00 goals at 61% probability.

Poxyt — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-24 A W HooGee 2–1 5–6
2026-06-28 H L MPS 2–3 2–6
2026-06-17 H L LoPa 0–2 0–1
2026-06-11 H W NuPS 2–1 4–7
2026-06-06 A L EIF Academy 3–7 1–3
2026-05-30 A L ESPA 1–4 2–11
2026-05-22 H W PPJ/Ruoholahti 3–0 5–4
2026-04-29 A W Gilla FC 2–1 4–5
2026-04-23 A D LePa 1–1 3–7
2026-04-18 H W HooGee 3–1 3–4

LePa — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-23 H W Gilla FC 2–0 1–5
2026-07-04 A L ESPA 0–2 3–6
2026-06-25 H L EPS Reservi 1–2 4–4
2026-06-11 H W PPJ/Ruoholahti 3–1 7–10
2026-06-07 A L GrIFK Reservi 0–4 2–4
2026-05-28 H W EIF Academy 3–2 6–6
2026-05-23 A W MPS 1–0 4–3
2026-05-07 H W HooGee 3–1 7–5
2026-04-23 H D Poxyt 1–1 7–3
2026-04-19 A L Gilla FC 1–4 4–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Poxyt vs LePa?
Our model gives Poxyt a 48% chance, the draw 23% and LePa 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Poxyt vs LePa?
The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 45% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.