MathPredictions
▾

Luxembourg Division Nationale

Progres Niederkorn vs Jeunesse Esch Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.57 – 1.22
Avg goals2.79
Our pickHome
Progres Niederkorn 44% Draw 27% Jeunesse Esch 29%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 44% 2.26 2.20
Double chance – Home or away 73% 1.38 1.22
Goals 2.5 Over 53% 1.89 1.93
Both teams to score – Yes 57% 1.76 –
Corners 9.5 Under 51% 1.95 –
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.72 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.20  ·  Draw 3.30  ·  Away 2.75
Goals 2.5 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.0 Progres Niederkorn
9.4 Expected corners
3.4 Jeunesse Esch

Progres Niederkorn corner stats · Jeunesse Esch corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 49% Under 51%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.4 corners in this match, with Progres Niederkorn winning 6 of them.
  • Progres Niederkorn matches average 8.00 total corners (4.97 won per game) across their last 30 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 33% of Progres Niederkorn matches.
  • Jeunesse Esch win 4.37 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.78 over their last 27.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Jeunesse Esch matches.
  • Games involving Progres Niederkorn produce 2.93 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 67%.
  • Jeunesse Esch matches average 2.56 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.5 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 7.8 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (53%).

Progres Niederkorn — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H D Excelsior Virton 1–1 4–1
2026-06-27 H L UN Kaerjeng 0–3 2–3
2026-05-23 H L F91 Dudelange 2–4 1–2
2026-05-18 A L Jeunesse Esch 1–2 10–3
2026-05-14 H D Victoria Rosport 2–2 6–6
2026-05-09 H L FC 03 Differdange 2–3 5–6
2026-04-27 H W FC Rodange 1–0 8–3
2026-04-23 A W Atert Bissen 2–1 2–4
2026-04-19 A D Racing FC Union 2–2 7–2
2026-04-13 H D FC Mamer 32 1–1 10–2

Jeunesse Esch — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-23 H W Koeppchen Wormeldange 1–0 6–3
2026-07-22 H W FC Avenir Beggen 4–1 4–8
2026-07-18 H W US Feulen 3–0 4–1
2026-07-16 A L Residence Walferdange 2–3 11–5
2026-05-18 H W Progres Niederkorn 2–1 3–10
2026-05-11 A L UNA Strassen 0–3 1–3
2026-05-03 H D UT Petange 1–1 4–3
2026-04-26 A W Victoria Rosport 2–1 5–4
2026-04-20 H D Swift Hesperange 1–1 7–7
2026-03-22 H L US Hostert 2–3 5–9

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Progres Niederkorn vs Jeunesse Esch?
Our model gives Progres Niederkorn a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Jeunesse Esch 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Progres Niederkorn vs Jeunesse Esch?
The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 49% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.