Netherlands Super Cup Women
PSV (W) vs FC Twente (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.73 – 1.44
Avg goals3.18
Our pickHome
PSV (W) 44%
Draw 25%
FC Twente (W) 31%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 44% | 2.30 | 1.80 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.19 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Over | 57% | 1.77 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away +10% Value | 56% | 1.77 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 10 | Over +7% Value | 59% | 1.70 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 8.70 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.80 · Draw 3.60 · Away 3.50 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.0
PSV (W)
10.9
Expected corners
4.9
FC Twente (W)
PSV (W) corner stats · FC Twente (W) corner stats
Corner line 10.00
Over 59%
Under 41%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.9 corners here; PSV (W) are forecast for 6.
- PSV (W) win 5.95 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.89 over their last 38.
- PSV (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 37% of the time.
- Across 39 recent matches, FC Twente (W) games produced 11.97 corners on average — 7.90 taken by FC Twente (W) themselves.
- FC Twente (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 67% of the time.
- PSV (W) matches average 3.29 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.
- Games involving FC Twente (W) produce 3.36 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 12.4 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.75 goals at 57% probability.
PSV (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | H | W FC Metalist 1925 (W) | 2–1 | 10–3 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Ajax (W) | 3–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | W FC Twente (W) | 2–0 | 11–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W FC Twente (W) | 2–1 | 7–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | D FC Twente (W) | 2–2 | 8–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W ADO Den Haag (W) | 2–0 | 8–0 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | W HERA United (W) | 2–1 | 4–0 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W Heerenveen (W) | 1–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | D Ajax (W) | 1–1 | 3–0 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | W NAC (W) | 4–1 | 11–1 |
FC Twente (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | A | L PSV (W) | 0–2 | 5–11 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L PSV (W) | 1–2 | 6–7 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | D PSV (W) | 2–2 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | W NAC (W) | 3–0 | 19–7 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W PEC Zwolle (W) | 3–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L FC Utrecht (W) | 0–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | L ADO Den Haag (W) | 0–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | W HERA United (W) | 3–0 | 8–5 |
| 2026-03-19 | H | W HERA United (W) | 3–0 | 16–2 |
| 2026-03-12 | A | L Feyenoord (W) | 0–2 | 7–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win PSV (W) vs FC Twente (W)?
- Our model gives PSV (W) a 44% chance, the draw 25% and FC Twente (W) 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in PSV (W) vs FC Twente (W)?
- The corner model projects 10.9 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 59% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.