Mexico Liga MX U19
Puebla U19 vs Chivas Guadalajara U19 Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.41 – 1.09
Avg goals2.50
Our pickHome
Puebla U19 43%
Draw 29%
Chivas Guadalajara U19 28%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 43% | 2.33 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 72% | 1.39 | 1.33 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 54% | 1.84 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 51% | 1.94 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.21 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.10 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.80 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.6
Puebla U19
9.3
Expected corners
3.7
Chivas Guadalajara U19
Puebla U19 corner stats · Chivas Guadalajara U19 corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 47%
Under 53%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.3 corners here; Puebla U19 are forecast for 5.6.
- Puebla U19 matches average 9.33 total corners (5.30 won per game) across their last 27 with corner data.
- Puebla U19 games clear the 9.5 corner line 48% of the time.
- Chivas Guadalajara U19 win 4.30 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.70 over their last 27.
- Chivas Guadalajara U19 games clear the 9.5 corner line 48% of the time.
- Puebla U19 matches average 2.59 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.
- Games involving Chivas Guadalajara U19 produce 2.89 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
- The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.5 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.3 across their last 4 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 54% probability.
Puebla U19 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | A | D Cruz Azul U19 | 0–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D Juarez FC U19 | 1–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Queretaro U19 | 2–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Chivas Guadalajara U19 | 0–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Leon U19 | 4–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | D Juarez FC U19 | 0–0 | 9–6 |
| 2026-03-18 | H | W Necaxa U19 | 2–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-03-08 | A | L Pachuca U19 | 2–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-03-05 | H | W Tigres UANL U19 | 2–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-03-01 | A | W Atletico San Luis U19 | 3–2 | 9–5 |
Chivas Guadalajara U19 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | A | L Toluca U19 | 0–3 | 3–10 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | W Toluca U19 | 2–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Tijuana U19 | 2–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | D Necaxa U19 | 2–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W Puebla U19 | 1–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | L Tigres UANL U19 | 1–3 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | W Unam Pumas U19 | 3–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-03-19 | H | L Leon U19 | 0–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | L Santos Laguna U19 | 1–2 | 6–8 |
| 2026-03-12 | A | D Toluca U19 | 1–1 | 1–9 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Puebla U19 vs Chivas Guadalajara U19?
- Our model gives Puebla U19 a 43% chance, the draw 29% and Chivas Guadalajara U19 28%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Puebla U19 vs Chivas Guadalajara U19?
- The corner model projects 9.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.