MathPredictions

Mexico Liga MX

Puebla vs Chivas Guadalajara Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.13 – 1.42
Avg goals2.55
Our pickAway
Puebla 29% Draw 29% Chivas Guadalajara 42%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 42% 2.36 1.67
Double chance Draw or away 71% 1.41 1.19
Goals 2.75 Under +12% Value 60% 1.68 1.98
Both teams to score Yes 53% 1.90 1.70
Asian handicap 0.75 Home +25% Value 65% 1.55 2.00
Corners 10 Over 50% 2.00 2.03
Correct score 1-1 14% 7.25 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 4.75  ·  Draw 4.10  ·  Away 1.67
Goals 2.75 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap 0.75 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80
Corners 10 Over 2.03  ·  Under 1.78

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

10.0 Expected corners
Corner line 10.00
Over 50% Under 50%

Match trends

Puebla — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-22 A L Cruz Azul 1–2 3–7
2026-07-18 A W Juarez FC 1–0 7–5
2026-04-25 H L Queretaro 1–2 3–12
2026-04-22 A L Monterrey 1–2 4–3
2026-04-19 A L Chivas Guadalajara 0–5 0–9
2026-04-11 H L Leon 0–1 7–8
2026-04-04 H D Juarez FC 1–1 8–9
2026-03-23 A L Santos Laguna 1–2 4–11
2026-03-14 H D Necaxa 0–0 6–5
2026-03-05 H W Tigres UANL 3–1 2–7

Chivas Guadalajara — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Juarez FC 1–0 19–2
2026-07-19 H L Toluca 0–2 9–2
2026-07-04 A D Correcaminos 0–0 7–3
2026-05-17 H L Cruz Azul 1–2 8–7
2026-05-14 A D Cruz Azul 2–2 1–6
2026-05-10 H W Tigres UANL 2–0 13–1
2026-05-03 A L Tigres UANL 1–3 4–4
2026-04-26 H D Tijuana 0–0 8–2
2026-04-23 A D Necaxa 0–0 4–1
2026-04-19 H W Puebla 5–0 9–0

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Puebla vs Chivas Guadalajara?
Our model gives Puebla a 29% chance, the draw 29% and Chivas Guadalajara 42%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Puebla vs Chivas Guadalajara?
The corner model projects 10.0 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 50% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.