MathPredictions
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Chile Tercera

Puente Alto vs Deportes Rancagua Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.45 – 1.42
Avg goals2.86
Our pickHome
Puente Alto 37% Draw 27% Deportes Rancagua 36%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 37% 2.70 2.50
Double chance – Home or away 73% 1.38 1.22
Goals 2.5 Over 55% 1.83 –
Both teams to score – Yes 59% 1.69 –
Corners 9.5 Over 66% 1.52 –
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.77 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.50  ·  Draw 3.30  ·  Away 2.40

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.9 Puente Alto
10.9 Expected corners
5.0 Deportes Rancagua

Puente Alto corner stats · Deportes Rancagua corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 66% Under 34%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.9 corners in this match, with Puente Alto winning 5.9 of them.
  • Puente Alto win 4.67 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.63 over their last 24.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 67% of Puente Alto matches.
  • Across 11 recent matches, Deportes Rancagua games produced 11.09 corners on average — 5.73 taken by Deportes Rancagua themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 64% of Deportes Rancagua matches.
  • Games involving Puente Alto produce 3.21 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 75%.
  • Deportes Rancagua matches average 2.73 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (55%).

Puente Alto — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L Naval Talcahuano 1–3 7–4
2026-07-13 A L Malleco Unido 1–2 5–3
2026-07-06 A W CD Imperial Unido 1–0 7–8
2026-06-27 H D Rodelindo Roman 2–2 4–5
2026-06-21 A L Quintero Unido 1–4 3–1
2026-06-13 H L Lautaro de Buin 1–3 5–6
2026-06-07 A L Atletico Oriente 2–3 2–6
2026-05-30 H D Comunal Cabrero 1–1 4–8
2026-05-16 H L CD Constitucion Unido 2–3 4–2
2026-05-03 A L Deportes Rancagua 0–1 4–8

Deportes Rancagua — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 A W Futuro 1–0 5–3
2026-07-12 A D Chimbarongo FC 1–1 4–5
2026-06-28 H W CD Imperial Unido 2–1 5–6
2026-06-21 A L Rodelindo Roman 2–3 6–5
2026-06-14 H D Quintero Unido 1–1 4–3
2026-06-07 A W Lautaro de Buin 2–0 2–14
2026-05-31 H L Atletico Oriente 1–2 7–6
2026-05-03 H W Puente Alto 1–0 8–4
2026-04-26 H L Futuro FC 1–2 9–3
2026-04-19 A L Naval Talcahuano 0–4 3–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Puente Alto vs Deportes Rancagua?
Our model gives Puente Alto a 37% chance, the draw 27% and Deportes Rancagua 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Puente Alto vs Deportes Rancagua?
The corner model projects 10.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 66% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.