Costa Rica Primera Division
Puntarenas vs Sporting San Jose Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.30 – 0.96
Avg goals2.26
Our pickHome
Puntarenas 43%
Draw 31%
Sporting San Jose 26%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 43% | 2.32 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 74% | 1.35 | 1.29 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under | 54% | 1.84 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 54% | 1.86 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 51% | 1.96 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 6.98 | 6.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.20 · Draw 3.10 · Away 3.10 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.3
Puntarenas
8.8
Expected corners
3.5
Sporting San Jose
Puntarenas corner stats · Sporting San Jose corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 41%
Under 59%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.8 corners in this match, with Puntarenas winning 5.3 of them.
- Puntarenas matches average 9.26 total corners (4.70 won per game) across their last 43 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 37% of Puntarenas matches.
- Sporting San Jose win 4.91 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.47 over their last 45.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of Sporting San Jose matches.
- Games involving Puntarenas produce 2.56 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 61%.
- Sporting San Jose matches average 2.18 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.5 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 11.3 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (54%).
Puntarenas — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | A | D Herediano | 1–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-27 | H | L Deportivo Saprissa | 1–3 | 3–7 |
| 2026-04-24 | A | L Alajuelense | 2–5 | 1–6 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | L Sporting San Jose | 1–2 | 9–1 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | D Municipal Perez Zeledon | 3–3 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | L Herediano | 0–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | D Sporting San Jose | 1–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-03-25 | A | D Sporting San Jose | 1–1 | 5–11 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | L Municipal Liberia | 0–1 | 5–0 |
| 2026-03-16 | A | L Guadalupe FC | 1–2 | 5–4 |
Sporting San Jose — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D Alajuelense | 1–1 | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D Herediano | 0–0 | 1–6 |
| 2026-04-22 | H | L Municipal Liberia | 0–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | W Puntarenas | 2–1 | 1–9 |
| 2026-04-16 | H | L Deportivo Saprissa | 1–3 | 3–8 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | L Alajuelense | 0–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | L Cartagines | 2–3 | 4–3 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | D Puntarenas | 1–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-03-25 | H | D Puntarenas | 1–1 | 11–5 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | D Guadalupe FC | 0–0 | 4–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Puntarenas vs Sporting San Jose?
- Our model gives Puntarenas a 43% chance, the draw 31% and Sporting San Jose 26%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Puntarenas vs Sporting San Jose?
- The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 41% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.