Mexico Liga MX
Queretaro vs Tigres UANL Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.31 – 1.49
Avg goals2.80
Our pickAway
Queretaro 32%
Draw 28%
Tigres UANL 40%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 40% | 2.48 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 53% | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.73 | 1.70 |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home +13% Value | 60% | 1.67 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 10 | Under | 51% | 1.96 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.67 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.80 · Draw 3.50 · Away 2.00 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
9.9
Expected corners
Queretaro corner stats · Tigres UANL corner stats
Corner line 10.00
Over 49%
Under 51%
Match trends
- Queretaro matches average 10.40 total corners (4.40 won per game) across their last 35 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of Queretaro matches.
- Tigres UANL win 5.52 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.26 over their last 54.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 44% of Tigres UANL matches.
- Games involving Queretaro produce 2.43 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 49%.
- Tigres UANL matches average 2.76 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.8 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 11 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (53%).
Queretaro — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | W Pachuca | 2–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | L Club America | 0–1 | 2–12 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W Puebla | 2–1 | 12–3 |
| 2026-04-22 | H | D Cruz Azul | 1–1 | 1–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | D Mazatlan FC | 1–1 | 9–7 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | W Necaxa | 3–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-08 | H | D Juarez FC | 1–1 | 9–6 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | W Toluca | 1–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | D Atlas | 0–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-03-16 | A | D Tigres UANL | 0–0 | 7–8 |
Tigres UANL — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D Atletico San Luis | 2–2 | 9–3 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | L Tijuana | 1–3 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | D Toluca | 0–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Chivas Guadalajara | 0–2 | 1–13 |
| 2026-05-06 | H | W Nashville SC | 1–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Chivas Guadalajara | 3–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-29 | A | W Nashville SC | 1–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Mazatlan FC | 5–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | D Atlas | 0–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | D Necaxa | 1–1 | 13–0 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Queretaro vs Tigres UANL?
- Our model gives Queretaro a 32% chance, the draw 28% and Tigres UANL 40%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Queretaro vs Tigres UANL?
- The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 49% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.