MathPredictions
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Uruguay Torneo Intermedio

Racing Club de Montevideo vs Boston River Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-0
Expected goals1.30 – 0.79
Avg goals2.08
Our pickHome
Racing Club de Montevideo 47% Draw 31% Boston River 21%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 47% 2.11 1.75
Double chance – Home or draw 79% 1.27 1.17
Goals 2.25 Under +5% Value 60% 1.67 1.78
Both teams to score – No 59% 1.69 1.62
Asian handicap -0.75 Away +7% Value 60% 1.66 1.83
Corners 9 Over 52% 1.92 1.95
Correct score – 1-0 +49% Value 15% 6.72 10.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.75  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 4.75
Goals 2.25 Over 2.03  ·  Under 1.78
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 1.98  ·  Away 1.83
Corners 9 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.5 Racing Club de Montevideo
9.1 Expected corners
3.6 Boston River

Racing Club de Montevideo corner stats · Boston River corner stats

Corner line 9.00
Over 52% Under 48%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.1 corners in this match, with Racing Club de Montevideo winning 5.5 of them.
  • Racing Club de Montevideo matches average 9.02 total corners (5.26 won per game) across their last 43 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Racing Club de Montevideo matches.
  • Boston River win 3.79 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.96 over their last 48.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 46% of Boston River matches.
  • Games involving Racing Club de Montevideo produce 2.12 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
  • Boston River matches average 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.7 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.7 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (60%).

Racing Club de Montevideo — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 A L Cerro 0–1 7–4
2026-07-13 H D Penarol 1–1 2–4
2026-06-06 A D Central Espanol 1–1 10–0
2026-05-30 H D Defensor Sporting 0–0 10–1
2026-05-23 A D Liverpool Montevideo 0–0 7–3
2026-05-18 H W Cerro Largo 1–0 4–1
2026-05-10 A L Central Espanol 0–2 2–3
2026-05-04 H D Montevideo City Torque 1–1 7–5
2026-04-27 A W Cerro Largo 1–0 3–3
2026-04-19 H D Defensor Sporting 1–1 7–4

Boston River — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-19 A L Penarol 0–3 5–4
2026-07-13 H D Central Espanol 0–0 8–4
2026-06-08 A D Defensor Sporting 1–1 4–4
2026-06-02 H L Liverpool Montevideo 0–1 2–5
2026-05-27 A L Sao Paulo 0–2 3–7
2026-05-24 A L Cerro Largo 0–3 4–1
2026-05-21 H W O'Higgins 3–2 4–7
2026-05-16 H W Cerro 4–1 7–3
2026-05-12 A L Deportivo Maldonado 1–2 4–7
2026-05-08 H L Millonarios 2–4 2–9

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Racing Club de Montevideo vs Boston River?
Our model gives Racing Club de Montevideo a 47% chance, the draw 31% and Boston River 21%. The most likely score is 1-0.
How many corners are expected in Racing Club de Montevideo vs Boston River?
The corner model projects 9.1 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 52% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.