Luxembourg Division Nationale
Racing FC Union vs UN Kaerjeng Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.83 – 1.47
Avg goals3.30
Our pickHome
Racing FC Union 45%
Draw 25%
UN Kaerjeng 30%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 45% | 2.21 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | 1.19 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 64% | 1.56 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.17 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.67 · Draw 3.70 · Away 4.10 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.0
Racing FC Union
9.5
Expected corners
4.5
UN Kaerjeng
Racing FC Union corner stats · UN Kaerjeng corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 50%
Under 50%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.5 corners in this match, with Racing FC Union winning 5 of them.
- Racing FC Union win 4.71 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.54 over their last 28.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 39% of Racing FC Union matches.
- Across 22 recent matches, UN Kaerjeng games produced 9.50 corners on average — 4.68 taken by UN Kaerjeng themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of UN Kaerjeng matches.
- Games involving Racing FC Union produce 3.46 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
- UN Kaerjeng matches average 3.27 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 11.2 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (64%).
Racing FC Union — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | H | W FC Etzella Ettelbruck | 3–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W FC Rodange | 6–1 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L FC Mamer 32 | 2–3 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Atert Bissen | 0–5 | 5–1 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W UN Kaerjeng | 5–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | L FC 03 Differdange | 0–2 | 3–8 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | D Progres Niederkorn | 2–2 | 2–7 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | L UNA Strassen | 0–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | W Victoria Rosport | 4–3 | 6–9 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | W Swift Hesperange | 1–0 | 6–1 |
UN Kaerjeng — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W F91 Dudelange | 2–0 | 1–2 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | W Victoria Rosport | 3–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W Progres Niederkorn | 3–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | W FC Rodange | 3–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L Racing FC Union | 2–5 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | W FC Mamer 32 | 1–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | L Atert Bissen | 1–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-03-08 | A | W UT Petange | 2–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-03-01 | H | W Victoria Rosport | 2–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-02-22 | A | L Swift Hesperange | 1–2 | 8–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Racing FC Union vs UN Kaerjeng?
- Our model gives Racing FC Union a 45% chance, the draw 25% and UN Kaerjeng 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Racing FC Union vs UN Kaerjeng?
- The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.