MathPredictions
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USA NWSL Women

Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Chicago Stars (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.91 – 1.03
Avg goals2.94
Our pickHome
Racing Louisville FC (W) 57% Draw 24% Chicago Stars (W) 19%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 57% 1.76 1.55
Double chance – Home or draw 81% 1.24 1.10
Goals 3 Under 56% 1.78 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 56% 1.79 1.73
Asian handicap -1 Away 56% 1.79 1.80
Corners 9.5 Over 54% 1.85 –
Correct score – 1-1 11% 8.75 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.55  ·  Draw 3.80  ·  Away 4.75
Goals 3 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap -1 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

6.6 Racing Louisville FC (W)
9.8 Expected corners
3.2 Chicago Stars (W)

Racing Louisville FC (W) corner stats · Chicago Stars (W) corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 54% Under 46%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.8 corners in this match, with Racing Louisville FC (W) winning 6.6 of them.
  • Across 30 recent matches, Racing Louisville FC (W) games produced 9.17 corners on average — 4.87 taken by Racing Louisville FC (W) themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of Racing Louisville FC (W) matches.
  • Chicago Stars (W) matches average 10.15 total corners (3.56 won per game) across their last 27 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of Chicago Stars (W) matches.
  • Games involving Racing Louisville FC (W) produce 2.87 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 67%.
  • Chicago Stars (W) matches average 2.70 goals, with both teams scoring in 37% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (56%).

Racing Louisville FC (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 A L Kansas City Current (W) 1–5 3–3
2026-07-27 A W Angel City FC (W) 2–1 6–4
2026-07-19 H D Houston Dash (W) 1–1 8–1
2026-07-11 H L Bay FC (W) 0–2 7–0
2026-07-06 A L Portland Thorns (W) 0–4 7–3
2026-05-30 H L Denver Summit FC (W) 0–1 0–7
2026-05-24 H L North Carolina Courage (W) 1–2 8–2
2026-05-18 A L Utah Royals (W) 1–2 7–8
2026-05-09 H W Portland Thorns (W) 3–1 5–1
2026-05-04 A L Gotham FC (W) 0–1 5–3

Chicago Stars (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Orlando Pride (W) 0–1 1–8
2026-07-19 H L Angel City FC (W) 0–2 4–7
2026-07-11 A L Boston Legacy FC (W) 0–2 5–4
2026-07-06 H W Utah Royals (W) 3–2 5–4
2026-06-01 H L San Diego Wave (W) 0–2 3–3
2026-05-25 A W Bay FC (W) 1–0 1–5
2026-05-17 A L North Carolina Courage (W) 0–4 4–7
2026-05-11 A L Kansas City Current (W) 0–3 3–6
2026-05-04 H L Portland Thorns (W) 0–2 11–5
2026-04-30 H L Gotham FC (W) 0–2 0–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?
Our model gives Racing Louisville FC (W) a 57% chance, the draw 24% and Chicago Stars (W) 19%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?
The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 54% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.