Scotland Championship
Raith vs Stenhousemuir Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.20 – 0.84
Avg goals2.05
Our pickHome
Raith 43%
Draw 32%
Stenhousemuir 25%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 43% | 2.32 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 75% | 1.33 | 1.07 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under +15% Value | 61% | 1.64 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 59% | 1.70 | 1.62 |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away +26% Value | 65% | 1.55 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 9 | Under | 50% | 2.00 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +15% Value | 14% | 6.94 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.50 · Draw 3.70 · Away 5.75 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.93 · Away 1.88 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.4
Raith
9.0
Expected corners
3.6
Stenhousemuir
Raith corner stats · Stenhousemuir corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 50%
Under 50%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9 corners here; Raith are forecast for 5.4.
- Raith win 5.14 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.31 over their last 49.
- Raith games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
- Across 55 recent matches, Stenhousemuir games produced 9.15 corners on average — 4.51 taken by Stenhousemuir themselves.
- Stenhousemuir games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
- Raith matches average 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
- Games involving Stenhousemuir produce 2.31 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 40%.
- The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.4 across their last 5 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 61% probability.
Raith — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Peterhead | 1–0 | 1–6 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D Hamilton | 1–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | D Kilmarnock | 0–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Elgin | 3–1 | 5–1 |
| 2026-07-01 | H | W Edinburgh City | 4–0 | 9–0 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | D Hamilton | 2–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Ross County | 3–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L St Johnstone | 0–2 | 0–11 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Arbroath | 1–2 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-15 | A | W Queen's Park | 2–0 | 8–0 |
Stenhousemuir — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | D Livingston | 0–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | D Partick | 2–2 | 1–17 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Forfar | 2–0 | 13–0 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Alloa | 0–1 | 0–3 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | W Alloa | 3–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | D Queen of South | 1–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-06 | A | D Queen of South | 1–1 | 6–11 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Montrose | 2–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Alloa | 1–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Cove Rangers | 0–2 | 3–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Raith vs Stenhousemuir?
- Our model gives Raith a 43% chance, the draw 32% and Stenhousemuir 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Raith vs Stenhousemuir?
- The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 50% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.