MathPredictions

Scotland Championship

Raith vs Stenhousemuir Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.20 – 0.84
Avg goals2.05
Our pickHome
Raith 43% Draw 32% Stenhousemuir 25%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 43% 2.32 1.50
Double chance Home or draw 75% 1.33 1.07
Goals 2.25 Under +15% Value 61% 1.64 1.98
Both teams to score No 59% 1.70 1.62
Asian handicap -0.75 Away +26% Value 65% 1.55 1.88
Corners 9 Under 50% 2.00 1.98
Correct score 1-1 +15% Value 14% 6.94 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.50  ·  Draw 3.70  ·  Away 5.75
Goals 2.25 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap -1 Home 1.93  ·  Away 1.88
Corners 9 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.4 Raith
9.0 Expected corners
3.6 Stenhousemuir
Corner line 9.00
Over 50% Under 50%

Match trends

Raith — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-22 H W Peterhead 1–0 1–6
2026-07-18 A D Hamilton 1–1 2–2
2026-07-15 A D Kilmarnock 0–0 6–6
2026-07-11 H W Elgin 3–1 5–1
2026-07-01 H W Edinburgh City 4–0 9–0
2026-06-27 H D Hamilton 2–2 5–5
2026-05-02 H W Ross County 3–2 5–7
2026-04-25 A L St Johnstone 0–2 0–11
2026-04-18 A L Arbroath 1–2 2–4
2026-04-15 A W Queen's Park 2–0 8–0

Stenhousemuir — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H D Livingston 0–0 2–4
2026-07-22 A D Partick 2–2 1–17
2026-07-11 H W Forfar 2–0 13–0
2026-05-17 H L Alloa 0–1 0–3
2026-05-14 A W Alloa 3–1 4–4
2026-05-09 H D Queen of South 1–1 3–4
2026-05-06 A D Queen of South 1–1 6–11
2026-05-02 A W Montrose 2–0 2–7
2026-04-25 H W Alloa 1–0 7–1
2026-04-18 A L Cove Rangers 0–2 3–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Raith vs Stenhousemuir?
Our model gives Raith a 43% chance, the draw 32% and Stenhousemuir 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Raith vs Stenhousemuir?
The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 50% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.