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Honduras Liga Nacional

Real Espana vs Genesis de Comayagua Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE HT 1–0

Corners2–1
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target2–1
Shots off target3–3
Attacks26–29
Dangerous attacks20–25
Possession50%–50%
Predicted score 1-111%1-011%2-011%
Expected goals1.90 – 0.94
Avg goals2.84
Our pickHome
Real Espana 59% Draw 23% Genesis de Comayagua 18%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 59% 1.69 1.55
Double chance – Home or draw 82% 1.22 1.07
Goals 2.75 Under 52% 1.93 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 52% 1.91 –
Asian handicap -1.25 Away +8% Value 60% 1.67 1.85
Corners 9.5 Under 63% 1.59 –
Correct score – 1-1 11% 9.20 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.55  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 5.25
Goals 2.75 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap -1 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.1 Real Espana
8.5 Expected corners
3.4 Genesis de Comayagua

Real Espana corner stats · Genesis de Comayagua corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 37% Under 63%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8.5 corners here; Real Espana are forecast for 5.1.
  • Real Espana win 4.55 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.16 over their last 51.
  • Real Espana games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
  • Across 41 recent matches, Genesis de Comayagua games produced 9.00 corners on average — 4.05 taken by Genesis de Comayagua themselves.
  • Genesis de Comayagua games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
  • Real Espana matches average 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
  • Games involving Genesis de Comayagua produce 2.83 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 61%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 6 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 52% probability.

Real Espana — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-01 A W CD Platense 3–0 5–4
2026-05-19 H D CD Marathon 1–1 8–3
2026-05-13 A L CD Olimpia 2–3 4–7
2026-05-10 H W CD Olimpia 3–1 5–8
2026-05-04 A L CD Marathon 0–1 2–3
2026-05-01 A W CD Victoria La Ceiba 2–1 7–2
2026-04-26 H W CD Olimpia 3–2 2–3
2026-04-23 H W CD Platense 2–0 3–8
2026-04-10 A L CD Choloma 2–3 4–0
2026-04-07 H D Juticalpa 1–1 4–0

Genesis de Comayagua — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 H W CD Choloma 2–0 2–5
2026-05-19 A L Motagua 1–2 5–6
2026-05-16 H D Olancho FC 1–1 3–7
2026-05-07 A W Olancho FC 3–1 1–7
2026-05-04 H D Motagua 1–1 4–4
2026-05-01 A D Olancho FC 2–2 4–4
2026-04-28 H W CD Victoria La Ceiba 2–0 1–6
2026-04-24 A W Lobos UPNFM 1–0 2–2
2026-04-19 H L CD Marathon 0–1 5–3
2026-04-09 A W CD Platense 1–0 2–9

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Real Espana vs Genesis de Comayagua?
Our model gives Real Espana a 59% chance, the draw 23% and Genesis de Comayagua 18%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Real Espana vs Genesis de Comayagua?
The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 37% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.