MathPredictions
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Europe Friendlies

Real Murcia vs Eldense Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.44 – 1.29
Avg goals2.72
Our pickHome
Real Murcia 39% Draw 28% Eldense 33%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +13% Value 39% 2.54 2.88
Double chance – Home or away 72% 1.39 1.21
Goals 2.5 Over 51% 1.95 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 56% 1.77 –
Asian handicap 0.25 Home +14% Value 62% 1.61 1.88
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.49 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.88  ·  Draw 3.40  ·  Away 2.10
Goals 2.5 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.88  ·  Away 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Real Murcia win 5.16 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.25 over their last 44.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of Real Murcia matches.
  • Across 48 recent matches, Eldense games produced 8.98 corners on average — 5.19 taken by Eldense themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 33% of Eldense matches.
  • Games involving Real Murcia produce 2.32 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 55%.
  • Eldense matches average 2.73 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
  • Across their previous 7 meetings, these sides averaged 2.9 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 7 meetings with corner data averaged 8 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (51%).

Real Murcia — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H L Port Vale 0–1 2–5
2026-05-25 H W Eldense 3–0 4–2
2026-05-11 H L Betis Deportivo 1–2 8–2
2026-05-04 A D Sabadell 2–2 2–7
2026-04-26 A W CE Europa 2–0 6–8
2026-04-18 H L Antequera 2–3 11–3
2026-04-12 A L Gimnastic 1–2 9–4
2026-04-06 H W Atletico Madrid B 2–1 3–4
2026-03-29 A W Sevilla Atletico 1–0 7–0
2026-03-23 H W SD Tarazona 1–0 5–5

Eldense — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Al Ittifaq Dammam 3–1 5–1
2026-07-23 A L Valencia 0–3 3–2
2026-07-18 H L Millwall 1–2 6–3
2026-05-25 A L Real Murcia 0–3 2–4
2026-05-17 H W Atletico Madrid B 2–1 6–5
2026-05-10 A D Sevilla Atletico 2–2 11–3
2026-05-04 H W Marbella FC 3–1 1–6
2026-04-26 A L Antequera 1–2 5–6
2026-04-20 H W FC Cartagena 2–1 7–2
2026-04-12 A W Betis Deportivo 1–0 7–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Real Murcia vs Eldense?
Our model gives Real Murcia a 39% chance, the draw 28% and Eldense 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.