Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Real Pilar vs Defensores Unidos Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.42 – 0.68
Avg goals2.10
Our pickHome
Real Pilar 54%
Draw 30%
Defensores Unidos 17%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 54% | 1.86 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 83% | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| Goals | 2 | Under | 51% | 1.95 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 62% | 1.62 | 1.50 |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away | 53% | 1.89 | 2.03 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +63% Value | 16% | 6.14 | 10.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.67 · Draw 3.20 · Away 5.00 |
| Goals 2 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.78 · Away 2.03 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.0
Real Pilar
9.2
Expected corners
3.3
Defensores Unidos
Real Pilar corner stats · Defensores Unidos corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 47%
Under 53%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.2 corners here; Real Pilar are forecast for 6.
- Real Pilar win 4.49 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.29 over their last 45.
- Real Pilar games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- Across 37 recent matches, Defensores Unidos games produced 9.41 corners on average — 3.84 taken by Defensores Unidos themselves.
- Defensores Unidos games clear the 9.5 corner line 51% of the time.
- Real Pilar matches average 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.
- Games involving Defensores Unidos produce 1.84 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
- The model leans Under 2.00 goals at 51% probability.
Real Pilar — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W Club Comunicaciones | 2–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | L CS Dock Sud | 0–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | L Deportivo Merlo | 2–3 | 6–0 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Deportivo Camioneros | 2–1 | 1–6 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | D Sportivo Italiano | 1–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | D San Martin De Burzaco | 0–0 | 9–1 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | D Villa San Carlos | 1–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-15 | A | W Deportivo Liniers | 1–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L CA Ituzaingo | 0–2 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | W UAI Urquiza | 2–1 | 4–8 |
Defensores Unidos — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D UAI Urquiza | 1–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | D Villa Dalmine | 0–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | L Excursionistas | 0–2 | 7–9 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Arsenal de Sarandi | 1–3 | 1–9 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | D Argentino Merlo | 1–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L Talleres Remedios | 0–1 | 2–11 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L Deportivo Laferrere | 0–1 | 5–10 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | D CA Brown de Adrogue | 1–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | L Deportivo Armenio | 0–3 | 2–4 |
| 2026-06-01 | H | W CSD Flandria | 1–0 | 9–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Real Pilar vs Defensores Unidos?
- Our model gives Real Pilar a 54% chance, the draw 30% and Defensores Unidos 17%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in Real Pilar vs Defensores Unidos?
- The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.