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Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20

Referencia FC U20 vs Guarani U20 Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals0.95 – 1.65
Avg goals2.60
Our pickAway
Referencia FC U20 21% Draw 27% Guarani U20 53%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 53% 1.90 1.45
Double chance – Draw or away 79% 1.26 1.07
Goals 2.75 Under +12% Value 58% 1.72 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 51% 1.97 –
Asian handicap 1.25 Home +18% Value 67% 1.49 1.80
Corners 9.5 Over 68% 1.47 –
Correct score – 1-1 +15% Value 13% 7.81 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 5.50  ·  Draw 4.10  ·  Away 1.45
Goals 2.75 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap 1.25 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.4 Referencia FC U20
11.2 Expected corners
5.8 Guarani U20

Referencia FC U20 corner stats · Guarani U20 corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 68% Under 32%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 11.2 corners here; Referencia FC U20 are forecast for 5.4.
  • Referencia FC U20 matches average 10.71 total corners (5.43 won per game) across their last 14 with corner data.
  • Referencia FC U20 games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
  • Guarani U20 win 6.48 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.43 over their last 21.
  • Guarani U20 games clear the 9.5 corner line 67% of the time.
  • Referencia FC U20 matches average 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
  • Games involving Guarani U20 produce 2.43 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 29%.
  • The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 58% probability.

Referencia FC U20 — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A W Porto Foot Ball U20 1–0 5–0
2026-07-18 A L Capivariano U20 0–2 8–4
2026-07-05 H L Bragantino U20 1–4 6–4
2026-06-27 H L Gremio Prudente U20 1–2 2–5
2026-06-13 A D Ituano U20 1–1 4–8
2026-06-06 H L Agua Santa U20 1–2 4–3
2026-05-30 A L Flamengo SP U20 0–2 5–3
2026-01-05 H D Ivinhema U20 1–1 6–3
2025-09-27 A L Palmeiras U20 0–3 3–3
2025-09-19 H L Palmeiras U20 0–2 13–12

Guarani U20 — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Tanabi U20 1–0 10–4
2026-07-18 A W Audax SP U20 4–1 7–5
2026-07-11 H W Maua U20 2–1 15–4
2026-07-04 H W Sfera FC U20 2–0 6–6
2026-06-27 A L Palmeiras U20 0–4 5–5
2026-06-13 A W Flamengo SP U20 1–0 6–4
2026-04-09 H D XV Piracicaba U20 2–2 4–9
2026-01-15 A L XV de Jau U20 0–1 8–2
2026-01-13 A W Corinthians U20 2–1 2–13
2026-01-10 H W Naviraiense U20 4–0 6–0

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Referencia FC U20 vs Guarani U20?
Our model gives Referencia FC U20 a 21% chance, the draw 27% and Guarani U20 53%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Referencia FC U20 vs Guarani U20?
The corner model projects 11.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 68% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.