Luxembourg Division Nationale
Residence Walferdange vs US Hostert Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.62 – 1.19
Avg goals2.80
Our pickHome
Residence Walferdange 46%
Draw 27%
US Hostert 27%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 46% | 2.16 | 1.95 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 73% | 1.37 | 1.30 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 53% | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.82 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.95 · Draw 3.90 · Away 2.80 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 14 recent matches, Residence Walferdange games produced 10.14 corners on average — 2.93 taken by Residence Walferdange themselves.
- Residence Walferdange games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
- US Hostert matches average 9.54 total corners (6.13 won per game) across their last 24 with corner data.
- US Hostert games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
- Residence Walferdange matches average 4.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 86% of them.
- Games involving US Hostert produce 3.17 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 53% probability.
Residence Walferdange — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | H | L FC Luxembourg City | 2–4 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | W Lorentzweiler | 5–3 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | W Jeunesse Esch | 3–2 | 5–11 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W FC Mamer 32 | 6–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 2–1 | 2–13 |
| 2026-06-02 | A | D Jeunesse Canach | 1–1 | 1–9 |
| 2026-05-01 | A | W FC Schifflange 95 | 1–0 | 3–9 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | D FC Mondercange | 1–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-02-15 | A | L US Feulen | 0–2 | 2–2 |
| 2025-11-30 | A | L CS Fola Esch | 1–2 | 3–5 |
US Hostert — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | A | L F91 Dudelange | 1–5 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-16 | A | W FC Luxembourg City | 4–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Swift Hesperange | 1–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W FC Mamer 32 | 4–2 | 10–2 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | L Atert Bissen | 0–3 | 9–2 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | W Jeunesse Esch | 3–2 | 9–5 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | L Progres Niederkorn | 1–5 | 4–1 |
| 2026-03-05 | A | L CS Fola Esch | 1–3 | 8–0 |
| 2026-03-01 | H | W UNA Strassen | 1–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-02-22 | A | D Jeunesse Canach | 0–0 | 5–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Residence Walferdange vs US Hostert?
- Our model gives Residence Walferdange a 46% chance, the draw 27% and US Hostert 27%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.