Latvia Virsliga
RFS vs SC Grobinas Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-014%3-013%1-010%
Expected goals2.71 – 0.55
Avg goals3.26
Our pickHome
RFS 83%
Draw 13%
SC Grobinas 5%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 83% | 1.21 | 1.13 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 95% | 1.05 | 0.99 |
| Goals | 3.5 | Under +11% Value | 59% | 1.69 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 60% | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | -2.25 | Away +9% Value | 55% | 1.82 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 59% | 1.69 | 1.93 |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +848% Value | 14% | 7.07 | 81.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.13 · Draw 8.00 · Away 15.00 |
| Goals 3.5 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -2.5 | Home 1.93 · Away 1.88 |
| Corners 10 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.2
RFS
10.3
Expected corners
3.1
SC Grobinas
RFS corner stats · SC Grobinas corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 59%
Under 41%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.3 corners in this match, with RFS winning 7.2 of them.
- RFS matches average 9.98 total corners (7.04 won per game) across their last 50 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 58% of RFS matches.
- SC Grobinas win 4.73 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.48 over their last 40.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of SC Grobinas matches.
- Games involving RFS produce 3.40 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
- SC Grobinas matches average 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 35% of them.
- Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 3.3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 8.7 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.50 (59%).
RFS — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | A | L FK Jablonec | 0–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-31 | A | D IF Vestri | 1–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-27 | A | W Tukums 2000 | 1–0 | 8–4 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | W IF Vestri | 4–1 | 11–1 |
| 2026-07-20 | A | W FS Jelgava | 1–0 | 11–2 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | W Glentoran | 2–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | W FS Jelgava | 2–0 | 14–3 |
| 2026-07-10 | A | W Glentoran | 2–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | D FK Auda | 1–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-30 | H | W BFC Daugavpils | 3–1 | 4–1 |
SC Grobinas — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | A | L Riga FC | 0–4 | 3–7 |
| 2026-07-28 | H | D Ogre United | 2–2 | 7–3 |
| 2026-07-21 | A | L SK Super Nova | 0–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W Marupes SC | 1–0 | 12–0 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W Tukums 2000 | 3–1 | 7–6 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | L FS Jelgava | 0–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-25 | H | D FK Auda | 0–0 | 4–15 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | L BFC Daugavpils | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-17 | H | W FK Liepaja | 1–0 | 2–12 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L RFS | 1–3 | 3–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win RFS vs SC Grobinas?
- Our model gives RFS a 83% chance, the draw 13% and SC Grobinas 5%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in RFS vs SC Grobinas?
- The corner model projects 10.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 59% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.