Latvia Virsliga
Riga FC vs SC Grobinas Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
3-0
Expected goals3.01 – 0.60
Avg goals3.61
Our pickHome
Riga FC 84%
Draw 11%
SC Grobinas 4%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 84% | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 96% | 1.04 | 1.01 |
| Goals | 3.75 | Under +10% Value | 57% | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 56% | 1.77 | 1.73 |
| Asian handicap | -2.5 | Away | 55% | 1.83 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Correct score | – | 3-0 +1753% Value | 12% | 8.15 | 151.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.14 · Draw 8.50 · Away 13.00 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -2.25 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.3
Riga FC
9.5
Expected corners
3.2
SC Grobinas
Riga FC corner stats · SC Grobinas corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 50%
Under 50%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.5 corners here; Riga FC are forecast for 6.3.
- Across 48 recent matches, Riga FC games produced 9.23 corners on average — 5.96 taken by Riga FC themselves.
- Riga FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- SC Grobinas matches average 9.39 total corners (4.59 won per game) across their last 41 with corner data.
- SC Grobinas games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
- Riga FC matches average 3.63 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
- Games involving SC Grobinas produce 2.24 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 37%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.8 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.75 goals at 57% probability.
Riga FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | L Vardar Skopje | 1–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | W Vardar Skopje | 3–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Tukums 2000 | 3–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | W Ararat Armenia | 3–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Leevon PPK | 3–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-08 | A | L Ararat Armenia | 0–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W FS Jelgava | 3–0 | 11–2 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | W FK Auda | 2–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-25 | A | D BFC Daugavpils | 0–0 | 0–2 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W FK Liepaja | 4–0 | 5–4 |
SC Grobinas — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | H | D Ogre United | 2–2 | 7–3 |
| 2026-07-21 | A | L SK Super Nova | 0–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W Marupes SC | 1–0 | 12–0 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W Tukums 2000 | 3–1 | 7–6 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | L FS Jelgava | 0–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-25 | H | D FK Auda | 0–0 | 4–15 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | L BFC Daugavpils | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-17 | H | W FK Liepaja | 1–0 | 2–12 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L RFS | 1–3 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-29 | A | L Riga FC | 0–2 | 1–9 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Riga FC vs SC Grobinas?
- Our model gives Riga FC a 84% chance, the draw 11% and SC Grobinas 4%. The most likely score is 3-0.
- How many corners are expected in Riga FC vs SC Grobinas?
- The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.