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Europe Friendlies

Rio Ave vs Tondela Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.69 – 1.22
Avg goals2.91
Our pickHome
Rio Ave 47% Draw 26% Tondela 27%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 47% 2.12 1.91
Double chance – Home or away 74% 1.36 1.21
Goals 2.75 Under 50% 2.00 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 59% 1.71 –
Asian handicap -0.5 Away 53% 1.89 1.83
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.08 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.91  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 3.30
Goals 2.75 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.98  ·  Away 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Rio Ave matches average 10.61 total corners (4.19 won per game) across their last 36 with corner data.
  • Rio Ave games clear the 9.5 corner line 64% of the time.
  • Tondela win 4.03 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.82 over their last 38.
  • Tondela games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
  • Rio Ave matches average 2.81 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
  • Games involving Tondela produce 2.47 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 37%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 8.8 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 50% probability.

Rio Ave — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-17 A D Casa Pia 1–1 0–9
2026-05-12 H L Sporting 1–4 5–6
2026-05-04 H D Gil Vicente 0–0 9–7
2026-04-26 A L Guimaraes 0–2 5–3
2026-04-18 H D AVS 2–2 4–9
2026-04-12 A W Santa Clara 2–0 3–3
2026-04-05 H L Alverca 1–2 8–4
2026-03-22 A W Estoril 2–1 7–11
2026-03-16 H W Estrela Amadora 2–1 10–4
2026-03-10 A W Tondela 1–0 2–3

Tondela — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-17 A L FC Arouca 1–3 6–5
2026-05-12 H W Moreirense 2–0 1–8
2026-05-03 A W Casa Pia 1–0 2–7
2026-04-30 A D Sporting 2–2 5–5
2026-04-25 H L Nacional 0–2 8–7
2026-04-20 A L FC Porto 0–2 3–8
2026-04-14 H D Gil Vicente 2–2 5–5
2026-04-04 A L Guimaraes 0–5 1–3
2026-03-22 H D AVS 0–0 7–6
2026-03-10 H L Rio Ave 0–1 3–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Rio Ave vs Tondela?
Our model gives Rio Ave a 47% chance, the draw 26% and Tondela 27%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.