Wales Championship North
Ruthin Town vs Holyhead Hotspur Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.53 – 1.42
Avg goals2.95
Our pickHome
Ruthin Town 39%
Draw 27%
Holyhead Hotspur 34%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 39% | 2.56 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Over | 51% | 1.96 | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 60% | 1.65 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Home | 53% | 1.88 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 58% | 1.71 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.99 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.25 · Draw 3.75 · Away 2.45 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.78 · Under 2.03 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
Ruthin Town
8.8
Expected corners
4.2
Holyhead Hotspur
Ruthin Town corner stats · Holyhead Hotspur corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 42%
Under 58%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.8 corners in this match, with Ruthin Town winning 4.6 of them.
- Ruthin Town win 3.79 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.62 over their last 29.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 31% of Ruthin Town matches.
- Across 30 recent matches, Holyhead Hotspur games produced 9.33 corners on average — 3.83 taken by Holyhead Hotspur themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Holyhead Hotspur matches.
- Games involving Ruthin Town produce 3.34 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 66%.
- Holyhead Hotspur matches average 3.30 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
- Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 2.7 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 6.3 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (51%).
Ruthin Town — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Newtown | 2–3 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | L Llandudno | 2–5 | 6–14 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | W Buckley Town | 1–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | W Gresford Athletic | 2–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-03-14 | H | L Flint Mountain FC | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-03-07 | A | L Mold Alexandra FC | 0–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-03-01 | A | L CPD Y Rhyl | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 2026-02-26 | H | L Airbus UK | 0–4 | 3–6 |
| 2026-02-14 | A | W Brickfield Rangers | 1–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-01-31 | H | L Caersws | 0–1 | 3–10 |
Holyhead Hotspur — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Buckley Town | 5–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | W Flint Mountain FC | 2–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-01 | A | D Denbigh Town | 1–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | W Newtown | 2–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | L Mold Alexandra FC | 0–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | L Penrhyncoch | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-03-07 | H | W Guilsfield | 1–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-03-01 | A | L Gresford Athletic | 0–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-02-21 | H | W Brickfield Rangers | 3–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-01-31 | H | L Llandudno | 1–2 | 6–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Ruthin Town vs Holyhead Hotspur?
- Our model gives Ruthin Town a 39% chance, the draw 27% and Holyhead Hotspur 34%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Ruthin Town vs Holyhead Hotspur?
- The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 42% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.