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USA USL Championship

Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-014%1-114%0-012%
Expected goals1.29 – 0.90
Avg goals2.19
Our pickHome
Sacramento Republic 45% Draw 29% Rhode Island FC 25%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 45% 2.21 2.00
Double chance – Home or draw 75% 1.34 1.23
Goals 2.25 Under +11% Value 57% 1.77 2.00
Both teams to score – No 57% 1.77 1.83
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 53% 1.89 1.80
Corners 9.5 Under 63% 1.58 –
Correct score – 1-0 +33% Value 14% 7.17 9.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.00  ·  Draw 3.20  ·  Away 3.25
Goals 2.25 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.1 Sacramento Republic
8.4 Expected corners
3.4 Rhode Island FC

Sacramento Republic corner stats · Rhode Island FC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 37% Under 63%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8.4 corners here; Sacramento Republic are forecast for 5.1.
  • Sacramento Republic matches average 9.14 total corners (5.38 won per game) across their last 42 with corner data.
  • Sacramento Republic games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
  • Rhode Island FC win 4.33 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.33 over their last 39.
  • Rhode Island FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 41% of the time.
  • Sacramento Republic matches average 2.07 goals, with both teams scoring in 36% of them.
  • Games involving Rhode Island FC produce 2.21 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 39%.
  • The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 8.5 across their last 4 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 57% probability.

Sacramento Republic — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-09 A D Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–0 7–1
2026-08-06 A L Tulsa 0–1 2–4
2026-08-02 H W Sporting JAX 5–0 4–0
2026-07-26 A W Oakland Roots 3–1 7–3
2026-07-19 A D Charleston Battery 1–1 5–6
2026-07-12 A L AC Boise 0–2 8–1
2026-07-09 H W Rhode Island FC 2–1 7–3
2026-06-21 H L New Mexico United 0–1 5–3
2026-06-14 A W Colorado Switchbacks FC 1–0 1–4
2026-06-07 H D Monterey Bay FC 1–1 6–6

Rhode Island FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-03 A L Birmingham Legion FC 0–1 13–3
2026-07-26 A W Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–0 4–6
2026-07-19 H W Hartford Athletic 1–0 9–2
2026-07-12 H D Brooklyn FC 1–1 4–10
2026-07-09 A L Sacramento Republic 1–2 3–7
2026-07-05 H D Orange County SC 1–1 10–2
2026-06-14 A W Loudoun United FC 4–1 3–1
2026-06-07 H W Westchester SC 3–0 6–1
2026-05-31 A L Indy Eleven 0–1 6–6
2026-05-24 H W Brooklyn FC 4–1 2–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC?
Our model gives Sacramento Republic a 45% chance, the draw 29% and Rhode Island FC 25%. The most likely score is 1-0.
How many corners are expected in Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC?
The corner model projects 8.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 37% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.