UK Friendlies
Salisbury vs Havant and W Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.65 – 1.43
Avg goals3.08
Our pickHome
Salisbury 42%
Draw 26%
Havant and W 32%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 42% | 2.40 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.16 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 58% | 1.71 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away +25% Value | 65% | 1.55 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.37 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.62 · Draw 4.00 · Away 4.10 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.5
Salisbury
8.8
Expected corners
5.3
Havant and W
Salisbury corner stats · Havant and W corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 42%
Under 58%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.8 corners here; Salisbury are forecast for 3.5.
- Across 48 recent matches, Salisbury games produced 10.44 corners on average — 4.42 taken by Salisbury themselves.
- Salisbury games clear the 9.5 corner line 52% of the time.
- Havant and W matches average 8.77 total corners (5.00 won per game) across their last 13 with corner data.
- Havant and W games clear the 9.5 corner line 31% of the time.
- Salisbury matches average 2.56 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
- Games involving Havant and W produce 3.62 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 69%.
- The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 58% probability.
Salisbury — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | A | D Hemel Hempstead | 1–1 | 2–9 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Horsham | 2–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Tonbridge Angels | 2–3 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | L Weston Super Mare | 1–2 | 5–1 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | L AFC Totton | 1–2 | 4–3 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | W Dover | 2–1 | 6–9 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | W Enfield Town | 2–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | D Slough | 3–3 | 5–6 |
| 2026-03-11 | A | L Torquay | 1–2 | 4–2 |
| 2026-03-07 | H | W Eastbourne Borough | 2–0 | 5–3 |
Havant and W — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Bognor Regis Town | 1–4 | 5–1 |
| 2026-02-28 | A | L Uxbridge | 0–3 | 3–2 |
| 2026-01-29 | H | L Bracknell Town | 0–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-01-15 | H | W Dorchester | 3–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-01-08 | H | W Farnham Town | 4–3 | 8–1 |
| 2025-11-27 | H | D Chertsey Town | 1–1 | 5–4 |
| 2025-11-18 | A | L Bracknell Town | 0–3 | 4–5 |
| 2025-11-01 | A | L Berkhamsted | 1–2 | 3–3 |
| 2025-10-23 | H | L Hanwell Town | 2–3 | 11–5 |
| 2025-10-15 | A | L Walton & Hersham | 1–2 | 4–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Salisbury vs Havant and W?
- Our model gives Salisbury a 42% chance, the draw 26% and Havant and W 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Salisbury vs Havant and W?
- The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 42% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.