Chile Primera B
San Marcos De Arica vs Deportes Iquique Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 1–1 (HT 0–0)
Corners5–4
Yellow cards0–2
Red cards1–1
Shots on target5–3
Shots off target9–4
Attacks146–89
Dangerous attacks108–48
Possession50%–50%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.44 – 1.03
Avg goals2.46
Our pickHome
San Marcos De Arica 45%
Draw 29%
Deportes Iquique 26%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 45% | 2.22 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 74% | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 55% | 1.81 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 55% | 1.82 | 1.93 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.24 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.05 · Draw 3.20 · Away 3.10 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.2
San Marcos De Arica
9.7
Expected corners
4.5
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos De Arica corner stats · Deportes Iquique corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 52%
Under 48%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.7 corners in this match, with San Marcos De Arica winning 5.2 of them.
- San Marcos De Arica matches average 9.92 total corners (5.00 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 55% of San Marcos De Arica matches.
- Deportes Iquique win 4.42 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.44 over their last 36.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Deportes Iquique matches.
- Games involving San Marcos De Arica produce 2.13 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 42%.
- Deportes Iquique matches average 2.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 7.6 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (55%).
San Marcos De Arica — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | D Deportes Iquique | 1–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-27 | H | W Magallanes | 2–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | L Deportes Limache | 1–4 | 7–9 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | L Coquimbo Unido | 0–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | L Deportes Limache | 1–3 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L San Luis Quillota | 0–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | L Deportes Temuco | 0–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | W Puerto Montt | 2–0 | 0–3 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | D CD Antofagasta | 1–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | D Curico Unido | 2–2 | 4–9 |
Deportes Iquique — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | D San Marcos De Arica | 1–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Deportes Temuco | 1–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | D Coquimbo Unido | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | W Deportes Limache | 4–1 | 5–9 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L Coquimbo Unido | 0–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | D Deportes Recoleta | 1–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | L Magallanes | 3–4 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | D Curico Unido | 1–1 | 12–2 |
| 2026-05-19 | A | L Union Espanola | 1–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | D Rangers de Talca | 1–1 | 4–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win San Marcos De Arica vs Deportes Iquique?
- Our model gives San Marcos De Arica a 45% chance, the draw 29% and Deportes Iquique 26%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in San Marcos De Arica vs Deportes Iquique?
- The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.