Nicaragua Apertura
San Marcos FC vs Managua FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.07 – 0.96
Avg goals2.02
Our pickHome
San Marcos FC 36%
Draw 33%
Managua FC 30%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +99% Value | 36% | 2.76 | 6.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw +63% Value | 70% | 1.44 | 2.40 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 67% | 1.49 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 58% | 1.71 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 15% | 6.74 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 6.00 · Draw 4.00 · Away 1.44 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 8 recent matches, San Marcos FC games produced 9.38 corners on average — 5.88 taken by San Marcos FC themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of San Marcos FC matches.
- Managua FC matches average 8.80 total corners (4.45 won per game) across their last 40 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 35% of Managua FC matches.
- Games involving San Marcos FC produce 1.88 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 38%.
- Managua FC matches average 2.35 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (67%).
San Marcos FC — last 8 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D HYH Export Sebaco FC | 1–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D Diriangen | 1–1 | 1–2 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | W Matiguas FC | 1–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-04-27 | H | W Chinandega FC | 2–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-13 | H | W Pumas FC | 2–0 | 11–8 |
| 2026-03-06 | A | W CD Junior de Managua | 2–1 | 9–3 |
| 2026-02-26 | H | W Deportivo Masaya | 3–0 | 9–3 |
| 2026-02-16 | H | D Juventus Managua | 0–0 | 7–5 |
Managua FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Jalapa | 1–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Rancho Santana FC | 2–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W Rancho Santana FC | 2–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | W Rancho Santana FC | 3–2 | 11–1 |
| 2026-04-30 | H | L Matagalpa FC | 2–4 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-16 | A | W Matagalpa FC | 2–1 | 0–0 |
| 2026-04-13 | H | D CD Walter Ferretti | 1–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-09 | A | L Real Esteli | 1–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-03-19 | H | W UNAN Managua | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-03-09 | A | W Real Madriz FC | 2–1 | 4–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win San Marcos FC vs Managua FC?
- Our model gives San Marcos FC a 36% chance, the draw 33% and Managua FC 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.