Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Merlo Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.34 – 0.92
Avg goals2.26
Our pickHome
San Martin De Burzaco 45%
Draw 30%
Deportivo Merlo 24%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home +17% Value | 45% | 2.22 | 2.60 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 76% | 1.32 | 1.35 |
| Goals | 1.75 | Over +8% Value | 62% | 1.62 | 2.03 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 54% | 1.84 | 1.62 |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Home +14% Value | 65% | 1.54 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.06 | 6.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.60 · Draw 2.80 · Away 2.63 |
| Goals 2 | Over 2.03 · Under 1.78 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.9
San Martin De Burzaco
8.5
Expected corners
3.6
Deportivo Merlo
San Martin De Burzaco corner stats · Deportivo Merlo corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 37%
Under 63%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.5 corners here; San Martin De Burzaco are forecast for 4.9.
- Across 36 recent matches, San Martin De Burzaco games produced 8.94 corners on average — 5.03 taken by San Martin De Burzaco themselves.
- San Martin De Burzaco games clear the 9.5 corner line 39% of the time.
- Deportivo Merlo matches average 8.85 total corners (4.75 won per game) across their last 40 with corner data.
- Deportivo Merlo games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
- San Martin De Burzaco matches average 2.08 goals, with both teams scoring in 36% of them.
- Games involving Deportivo Merlo produce 2.43 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 55%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.1 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.2 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 1.75 goals at 62% probability.
San Martin De Burzaco — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | H | L Sportivo Italiano | 1–2 | 10–1 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | W CA Ituzaingo | 2–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | D Villa San Carlos | 0–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | D Deportivo Liniers | 1–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | D Real Pilar | 0–0 | 1–9 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | D UAI Urquiza | 0–0 | 6–10 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L Villa Dalmine | 0–2 | 7–3 |
| 2026-06-01 | H | W Arsenal de Sarandi | 2–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | W Sportivo Italiano | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Argentino Merlo | 1–0 | 4–6 |
Deportivo Merlo — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Villa San Carlos | 1–2 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | D Deportivo Liniers | 1–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | W Real Pilar | 3–2 | 0–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | D UAI Urquiza | 0–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | L Villa Dalmine | 1–2 | 8–1 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L Excursionistas | 0–5 | 1–4 |
| 2026-06-22 | A | L Arsenal de Sarandi | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 2026-06-15 | H | D Argentino Merlo | 2–2 | 3–1 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L Talleres Remedios | 0–2 | 4–3 |
| 2026-06-03 | H | W Deportivo Laferrere | 2–1 | 5–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Merlo?
- Our model gives San Martin De Burzaco a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Deportivo Merlo 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Merlo?
- The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 37% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.