MathPredictions

Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Merlo Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.34 – 0.92
Avg goals2.26
Our pickHome
San Martin De Burzaco 45% Draw 30% Deportivo Merlo 24%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home +17% Value 45% 2.22 2.60
Double chance Home or draw 76% 1.32 1.35
Goals 1.75 Over +8% Value 62% 1.62 2.03
Both teams to score No 54% 1.84 1.62
Asian handicap 0 Home +14% Value 65% 1.54 1.88
Corners 9.5 Under 63% 1.59
Correct score 1-1 14% 7.06 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.60  ·  Draw 2.80  ·  Away 2.63
Goals 2 Over 2.03  ·  Under 1.78
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.88  ·  Away 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.9 San Martin De Burzaco
8.5 Expected corners
3.6 Deportivo Merlo
Corner line 9.50
Over 37% Under 63%

Match trends

San Martin De Burzaco — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-19 H L Sportivo Italiano 1–2 10–1
2026-07-15 A W CA Ituzaingo 2–1 4–2
2026-07-11 A D Villa San Carlos 0–0 2–6
2026-07-06 H D Deportivo Liniers 1–1 6–1
2026-06-28 A D Real Pilar 0–0 1–9
2026-06-21 A D UAI Urquiza 0–0 6–10
2026-06-13 H L Villa Dalmine 0–2 7–3
2026-06-01 H W Arsenal de Sarandi 2–0 7–3
2026-05-28 A W Sportivo Italiano 2–1 5–3
2026-05-24 A W Argentino Merlo 1–0 4–6

Deportivo Merlo — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H L Villa San Carlos 1–2 1–4
2026-07-19 A D Deportivo Liniers 1–1 4–5
2026-07-15 H W Real Pilar 3–2 0–6
2026-07-11 A D UAI Urquiza 0–0 2–6
2026-07-05 H L Villa Dalmine 1–2 8–1
2026-06-28 A L Excursionistas 0–5 1–4
2026-06-22 A L Arsenal de Sarandi 2–4 2–4
2026-06-15 H D Argentino Merlo 2–2 3–1
2026-06-06 A L Talleres Remedios 0–2 4–3
2026-06-03 H W Deportivo Laferrere 2–1 5–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Merlo?
Our model gives San Martin De Burzaco a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Deportivo Merlo 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in San Martin De Burzaco vs Deportivo Merlo?
The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 37% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.