Argentina Nacional B
San Martin SJ vs Atletico Rafaela Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
0-0
Expected goals1.06 – 0.63
Avg goals1.69
Our pickHome
San Martin SJ 44%
Draw 35%
Atletico Rafaela 20%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 44% | 2.27 | 1.73 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 80% | 1.26 | 1.11 |
| Goals | 1.75 | Under | 56% | 1.78 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 68% | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away +15% Value | 64% | 1.56 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Correct score | – | 0-0 | 20% | 5.08 | 5.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.73 · Draw 3.10 · Away 6.00 |
| Goals 1.75 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.6
San Martin SJ
9.0
Expected corners
3.4
Atletico Rafaela
San Martin SJ corner stats · Atletico Rafaela corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9 corners here; San Martin SJ are forecast for 5.6.
- San Martin SJ matches average 9.17 total corners (4.83 won per game) across their last 36 with corner data.
- San Martin SJ games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
- Atletico Rafaela win 4.58 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.80 over their last 40.
- Atletico Rafaela games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- San Martin SJ matches average 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.
- Games involving Atletico Rafaela produce 1.65 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 30%.
- The model leans Under 1.75 goals at 56% probability.
San Martin SJ — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | L Agropecuario | 1–2 | 8–6 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | W CA Guemes | 2–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | L Chacarita Juniors | 0–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W Agropecuario | 2–0 | 10–3 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | L Gimnasia Jujuy | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | L Nueva Chicago | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | L Temperley | 1–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Deportivo Maipu | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | W Almagro | 2–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | D Platense | 0–0 | 2–4 |
Atletico Rafaela — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Nueva Chicago | 1–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Temperley | 0–2 | 2–1 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | L Deportivo Maipu | 1–3 | 9–2 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L Almagro | 0–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-24 | A | D Nueva Chicago | 0–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-06-15 | A | D Patronato Parana | 0–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | W CA Colegiales | 1–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | L Quilmes | 0–2 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Ferrocarril Midland | 1–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L CA Atlanta | 0–2 | 5–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win San Martin SJ vs Atletico Rafaela?
- Our model gives San Martin SJ a 44% chance, the draw 35% and Atletico Rafaela 20%. The most likely score is 0-0.
- How many corners are expected in San Martin SJ vs Atletico Rafaela?
- The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.