Guatemala Primera Division
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Quiche FC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals1.86 – 0.82
Avg goals2.69
Our pickHome
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 61%
Draw 24%
Quiche FC 15%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 61% | 1.64 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 85% | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 50% | 1.99 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Home | 56% | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 | 12% | 8.45 | 26.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.62 · Draw 3.60 · Away 4.50 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.1
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa
9.2
Expected corners
3.1
Quiche FC
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa corner stats · Quiche FC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 46%
Under 54%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.2 corners here; Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa are forecast for 6.1.
- Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa matches average 9.53 total corners (5.09 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
- Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- Quiche FC win 2.92 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.15 over their last 13.
- Quiche FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 31% of the time.
- Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa matches average 2.53 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
- Games involving Quiche FC produce 2.38 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 50% probability.
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | D Deportivo Gomerano | 2–2 | 2–7 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | L Suchitepequez | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-17 | H | W Suchitepequez | 3–2 | 9–2 |
| 2026-04-13 | H | W Deportivo Carcha | 1–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D Chimaltenango FC | 3–3 | 11–6 |
| 2026-03-15 | A | D CSD Chiquimulilla | 3–3 | 1–8 |
| 2026-03-12 | H | W AFF Guatemala | 1–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-03-02 | H | D Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 1–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-02-26 | A | L Deportivo Carcha | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-02-22 | H | D Chimaltenango FC | 1–1 | 5–4 |
Quiche FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | A | L Coatepeque FC | 2–3 | 0–1 |
| 2026-03-15 | A | L Deportivo Gomerano | 1–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-03-02 | A | L Deportivo San Pedro | 0–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-02-26 | A | L Nueva Concepcion | 0–3 | 5–4 |
| 2026-01-29 | A | L Suchitepequez | 0–1 | 0–7 |
| 2026-01-18 | H | L Deportivo San Pedro | 0–1 | 4–4 |
| 2025-11-24 | A | L Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 0–1 | 1–5 |
| 2025-11-16 | H | W Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 1–0 | 6–1 |
| 2025-10-16 | A | L Suchitepequez | 1–3 | 3–4 |
| 2025-10-13 | A | D Coatepeque FC | 1–1 | 0–12 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Quiche FC?
- Our model gives Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa a 61% chance, the draw 24% and Quiche FC 15%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Quiche FC?
- The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 46% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.