MathPredictions
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Peru Liga 2

Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 0-0
Expected goals0.94 – 0.96
Avg goals1.90
Our pickDraw
Santos FC 32% Draw 35% Comerciantes FC 33%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Draw 35% 2.90 3.00
Double chance – Draw or away 68% 1.48 1.50
Goals 2.25 Under +12% Value 65% 1.53 1.75
Both teams to score – No 61% 1.64 –
Asian handicap -0.25 Away +8% Value 61% 1.64 1.80
Corners 9.5 Under 57% 1.76 1.80
Correct score – 0-0 16% 6.15 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.25  ·  Draw 3.00  ·  Away 3.00
Goals 2.25 Over 2.05  ·  Under 1.75
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80
Corners 8.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.4 Santos FC
8.9 Expected corners
3.6 Comerciantes FC

Santos FC corner stats · Comerciantes FC corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 43% Under 57%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.9 corners in this match, with Santos FC winning 5.4 of them.
  • Santos FC matches average 8.07 total corners (4.57 won per game) across their last 14 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 29% of Santos FC matches.
  • Comerciantes FC win 4.12 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.41 over their last 17.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 35% of Comerciantes FC matches.
  • Games involving Santos FC produce 2.14 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 43%.
  • Comerciantes FC matches average 1.35 goals, with both teams scoring in 35% of them.
  • Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 0.8 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 5.5 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (65%).

Santos FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 A L Ayacucho FC 0–2 6–7
2026-06-29 A L CD Los Chankas 0–3 1–8
2026-06-22 H W Ayacucho FC 2–1 8–1
2026-05-30 H L Union Minas 0–1 8–2
2026-05-17 H W Bentin Tacna Heroica 2–1 6–5
2026-04-26 H W Sport Huancayo Reserves 2–0 3–2
2026-04-20 A L Comerciantes FC 0–1 4–3
2026-04-05 H D Ayacucho FC 0–0 3–5
2026-03-29 A D Deportivo Binacional 1–1 7–1
2025-09-22 H D Comerciantes FC 0–0 3–2

Comerciantes FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-19 A D Sport Huancayo Reserves 1–1 2–4
2026-07-11 A L Sport Boys 0–1 5–7
2026-06-28 H D CD Estudiantil CNI 0–0 6–3
2026-06-21 A W Union Comercio 1–0 5–10
2026-06-14 H D Sporting Cristal 1–1 6–5
2026-05-23 A D Ayacucho FC 0–0 3–6
2026-05-17 H W Deportivo Binacional 3–0 7–3
2026-05-09 A D Union Minas 0–0 2–6
2026-05-04 H D CD Estudiantil CNI 1–1 8–2
2026-04-27 A D Bentin Tacna Heroica 1–1 1–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC?
Our model gives Santos FC a 32% chance, the draw 35% and Comerciantes FC 33%. The most likely score is 0-0.
How many corners are expected in Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC?
The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 43% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.