MathPredictions
▾

Brazil Paulista Cup

Sao Caetano vs EC Sao Bernardo Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.14 – 1.10
Avg goals2.23
Our pickHome
Sao Caetano 35% Draw 32% EC Sao Bernardo 33%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 35% 2.84 2.55
Double chance – Home or away 68% 1.46 1.29
Goals 2.25 Under 55% 1.82 1.85
Both teams to score – No 53% 1.87 –
Asian handicap 0 Home 51% 1.95 1.88
Correct score – 1-1 15% 6.80 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.55  ·  Draw 3.00  ·  Away 2.60
Goals 2.25 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.88  ·  Away 1.93

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Sao Caetano win 3.92 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.23 over their last 26.
  • Sao Caetano games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
  • Across 19 recent matches, EC Sao Bernardo games produced 9.53 corners on average — 5.16 taken by EC Sao Bernardo themselves.
  • EC Sao Bernardo games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
  • Sao Caetano matches average 2.08 goals, with both teams scoring in 31% of them.
  • Games involving EC Sao Bernardo produce 2.53 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 42%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.1 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 8.8 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 55% probability.

Sao Caetano — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A D Santo Andre 0–0 4–4
2026-07-21 H L Sao Jose SP 1–2 3–8
2026-05-03 H D Penapolense 2–2 2–8
2026-04-26 A L Penapolense 1–2 5–8
2026-04-19 H W Jacarei FC 1–0 7–4
2026-04-12 A D Jacarei FC 0–0 5–6
2026-04-05 H L Vocem 0–2 5–2
2026-03-29 A L Gremio Sao-Carlense 1–4 7–8
2026-03-26 A W Colorado Caieiras 4–0 5–0
2026-03-22 H W EC Barretos 2–0 5–7

EC Sao Bernardo — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L Sao Jose SP 1–2 3–7
2026-07-19 H W Santo Andre 3–1 1–6
2026-04-05 A L Marilia 0–2 5–8
2026-03-29 H W Marilia 2–0 8–4
2026-03-22 A D Uniao Sao Joao 2–2 10–2
2026-03-15 H L Portuguesa Santista 0–3 9–1
2026-03-12 A D Bandeirante 2–2 5–2
2026-03-08 A W Itapirense 3–0 4–8
2026-03-05 H W Rio Branco SP 4–0 3–3
2026-03-01 A L Rio Claro 0–1 7–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sao Caetano vs EC Sao Bernardo?
Our model gives Sao Caetano a 35% chance, the draw 32% and EC Sao Bernardo 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.