MathPredictions
▾

Europe Friendlies

Sao Joao Ver vs CF Os Marialvas Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.66 – 0.91
Avg goals2.57
Our pickHome
Sao Joao Ver 54% Draw 27% CF Os Marialvas 19%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 54% 1.85 1.67
Double chance – Home or draw 81% 1.24 1.14
Goals 2.5 Under 53% 1.90 1.80
Both teams to score – No 51% 1.98 –
Asian handicap -0.75 Away 52% 1.92 1.90
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.88 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.67  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 4.33
Goals 2.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Sao Joao Ver win 4.42 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.68 over their last 31.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 35% of Sao Joao Ver matches.
  • Across 27 recent matches, CF Os Marialvas games produced 9.37 corners on average — 5.26 taken by CF Os Marialvas themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 37% of CF Os Marialvas matches.
  • Games involving Sao Joao Ver produce 2.19 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 45%.
  • CF Os Marialvas matches average 2.19 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (53%).

Sao Joao Ver — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-03 H W AD Sanjoanense 2–1 1–5
2026-04-29 A W AD Fafe 2–1 6–7
2026-04-18 A D USC Paredes 0–0 5–8
2026-04-12 H D AD Marco 09 0–0 2–4
2026-03-21 A W Braga B 1–0 2–4
2026-03-15 H W USC Paredes 3–1 3–5
2026-03-08 H D Braga B 1–1 10–6
2026-03-01 A L AD Marco 09 1–2 3–7
2026-02-21 H W AD Fafe 1–0 5–4
2026-02-14 A D AD Sanjoanense 1–1 5–4

CF Os Marialvas — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-18 A L Juventude Desportiva Lajense 0–1 8–1
2026-04-12 H D Naval 1893 0–0 9–2
2026-04-04 A W Mortagua FC 2–0 5–3
2026-03-29 H D UD da Serra 1–1 1–3
2026-03-22 H W Fatima 2–0 4–3
2026-03-15 A W Samora Correia 1–0 4–4
2026-03-12 H D AC Marinhense 1–1 6–1
2026-03-07 H L GD Peniche 1–3 11–2
2026-02-14 A W Lusitania 5–0 1–2
2026-01-25 A W Benfica Castelo Branco 1–0 1–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sao Joao Ver vs CF Os Marialvas?
Our model gives Sao Joao Ver a 54% chance, the draw 27% and CF Os Marialvas 19%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.