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Finland Kolmonen

SaPa vs KeuPa Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-2
Expected goals1.95 – 2.36
Avg goals4.31
Our pickAway
SaPa 32% Draw 21% KeuPa 47%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 47% 2.12 1.85
Double chance – Home or away 79% 1.26 1.11
Goals 4.25 Under 52% 1.92 1.83
Both teams to score – Yes 78% 1.28 –
Asian handicap 0.25 Away 53% 1.90 1.95
Correct score – 1-2 7% 13.72 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.80  ·  Draw 4.50  ·  Away 1.85
Goals 4.25 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • SaPa matches average 10.00 total corners (5.00 won per game) across their last 5 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of SaPa matches.
  • KeuPa win 5.38 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.75 over their last 16.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 75% of KeuPa matches.
  • Games involving SaPa produce 4.80 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 60%.
  • KeuPa matches average 4.06 goals, with both teams scoring in 69% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 4.25 (52%).

SaPa — last 5 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L JJK/2 0–2 1–4
2026-06-27 A L Komeetat 2–3 6–3
2026-06-13 H W FC Vaajakoski II 4–2 6–7
2026-06-04 A L FC Metso 0–6 7–7
2026-05-07 A L JPS 1–4 5–4

KeuPa — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-24 H W FC Vaajakoski II 5–1 3–14
2026-07-19 A W FC Metso 1–0 2–3
2026-06-25 A L JPS 0–3 3–8
2026-06-17 H L JJK/2 3–5 7–6
2026-06-13 A L FCJ Blackbird 0–3 4–6
2026-06-05 H W Komeetat 2–1 4–3
2026-04-30 A W JJK/2 4–3 10–5
2026-04-24 H D FCJ Blackbird 3–3 5–3
2026-04-18 A W Komeetat 2–1 7–4
2025-09-19 A L Huima/Urho 1–3 11–9

Match questions

Who is predicted to win SaPa vs KeuPa?
Our model gives SaPa a 32% chance, the draw 21% and KeuPa 47%. The most likely score is 1-2.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.