Coppa Italia
Sassuolo vs Cesena Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-011%1-010%1-110%
Expected goals2.03 – 0.93
Avg goals2.95
Our pickHome
Sassuolo 63%
Draw 21%
Cesena 16%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 63% | 1.60 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 56% | 1.79 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 53% | 1.89 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Home | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 57% | 1.76 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +264% Value | 11% | 9.33 | 34.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.53 · Draw 4.20 · Away 5.75 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.4
Sassuolo
8.8
Expected corners
4.4
Cesena
Sassuolo corner stats · Cesena corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 43%
Under 57%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.8 corners in this match, with Sassuolo winning 4.4 of them.
- Sassuolo matches average 8.77 total corners (3.91 won per game) across their last 43 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Sassuolo matches.
- Cesena win 4.77 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.05 over their last 43.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 44% of Cesena matches.
- Games involving Sassuolo produce 2.65 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
- Cesena matches average 2.51 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.
- Across their previous 5 meetings, these sides averaged 2.4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 5 meetings with corner data averaged 11 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (56%).
Sassuolo — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | A | L Augsburg | 2–3 | 11–7 |
| 2026-08-06 | H | L Celta Vigo | 1–4 | 2–7 |
| 2026-08-01 | H | D US Folgore Caratese | 0–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Padova | 4–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Parma | 0–1 | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | L Lecce | 2–3 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Torino | 1–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W AC Milan | 2–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D Fiorentina | 0–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Como | 2–1 | 5–8 |
Cesena — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | A | D Forli | 0–0 | 4–9 |
| 2026-08-06 | H | W Vis Pesaro | 3–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-08-02 | H | W FC Fossombrone | 3–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | W AC Carpi | 1–0 | 0–2 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | L Padova | 3–4 | 11–3 |
| 2026-05-01 | A | D Carrarese | 0–0 | 4–10 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D Sampdoria | 0–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Palermo | 0–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Juve Stabia | 0–2 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | D Sudtirol | 1–1 | 4–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sassuolo vs Cesena?
- Our model gives Sassuolo a 63% chance, the draw 21% and Cesena 16%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Sassuolo vs Cesena?
- The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 43% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.