Europe Friendlies
Sassuolo vs US Folgore Caratese Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.89 – 0.84
Avg goals3.74
Our pickHome
Sassuolo 79%
Draw 14%
US Folgore Caratese 7%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 79% | 1.27 | 1.13 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 93% | 1.08 | 1.00 |
| Goals | 3.5 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Asian handicap | -2.25 | Away | 57% | 1.76 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Over | 51% | 1.97 | 2.00 |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +410% Value | 10% | 10.00 | 67.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.13 · Draw 9.00 · Away 13.00 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap -2.5 | Home 1.93 · Away 1.88 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
8.6
Expected corners
Sassuolo corner stats · US Folgore Caratese corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 51%
Under 49%
Match trends
- Sassuolo matches average 8.44 total corners (3.84 won per game) across their last 43 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Sassuolo matches.
- US Folgore Caratese win 5.29 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.54 over their last 24.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 54% of US Folgore Caratese matches.
- Games involving Sassuolo produce 2.49 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 51%.
- US Folgore Caratese matches average 2.38 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.50 (51%).
Sassuolo — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Padova | 4–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Parma | 0–1 | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | L Lecce | 2–3 | 2–8 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Torino | 1–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W AC Milan | 2–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D Fiorentina | 0–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Como | 2–1 | 5–8 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | L Genoa | 1–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | W Cagliari | 2–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | D Juventus | 1–1 | 2–7 |
US Folgore Caratese — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | A | L FC Vado | 0–3 | 10–3 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W Treviso | 2–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | D Real Calepina FC | 1–1 | 10–2 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | D Oltrepò | 1–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | D Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 1–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-03-01 | A | D AC Milan U23 | 1–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-02-22 | H | D USD Casatese | 1–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-02-15 | A | W AC Chievo Verona | 4–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-01-18 | A | D USD Castellanzese | 0–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-01-11 | H | W Villa Valle | 3–0 | 1–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Sassuolo vs US Folgore Caratese?
- Our model gives Sassuolo a 79% chance, the draw 14% and US Folgore Caratese 7%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Sassuolo vs US Folgore Caratese?
- The corner model projects 8.6 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.