MathPredictions

Europe Friendlies

Sassuolo vs US Folgore Caratese Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-0
Expected goals2.89 – 0.84
Avg goals3.74
Our pickHome
Sassuolo 79% Draw 14% US Folgore Caratese 7%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 79% 1.27 1.13
Double chance Home or draw 93% 1.08 1.00
Goals 3.5 Over 51% 1.95 1.93
Both teams to score Yes 54% 1.84
Asian handicap -2.25 Away 57% 1.76 1.88
Corners 8.5 Over 51% 1.97 2.00
Correct score 2-0 +410% Value 10% 10.00 67.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.13  ·  Draw 9.00  ·  Away 13.00
Goals 3.75 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap -2.5 Home 1.93  ·  Away 1.88
Corners 8.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

8.6 Expected corners
Corner line 8.50
Over 51% Under 49%

Match trends

Sassuolo — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-22 H W Padova 4–1 4–4
2026-05-24 A L Parma 0–1 1–1
2026-05-18 H L Lecce 2–3 2–8
2026-05-09 A L Torino 1–2 5–7
2026-05-03 H W AC Milan 2–0 2–3
2026-04-26 A D Fiorentina 0–0 4–7
2026-04-18 H W Como 2–1 5–8
2026-04-12 A L Genoa 1–2 3–5
2026-04-04 H W Cagliari 2–1 2–2
2026-03-22 A D Juventus 1–1 2–7

US Folgore Caratese — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-17 A L FC Vado 0–3 10–3
2026-05-14 H W Treviso 2–0 3–5
2026-04-19 H D Real Calepina FC 1–1 10–2
2026-04-12 H D Oltrepò 1–1 6–5
2026-03-15 H D Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 1–1 6–5
2026-03-01 A D AC Milan U23 1–1 4–6
2026-02-22 H D USD Casatese 1–1 8–3
2026-02-15 A W AC Chievo Verona 4–1 2–4
2026-01-18 A D USD Castellanzese 0–0 6–1
2026-01-11 H W Villa Valle 3–0 1–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Sassuolo vs US Folgore Caratese?
Our model gives Sassuolo a 79% chance, the draw 14% and US Folgore Caratese 7%. The most likely score is 2-0.
How many corners are expected in Sassuolo vs US Folgore Caratese?
The corner model projects 8.6 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.