Uganda Super 8
SC Villa vs Maroons Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.83 – 0.77
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
SC Villa 62%
Draw 24%
Maroons 14%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 62% | 1.62 | 1.45 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 86% | 1.16 | 1.02 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 | 13% | 7.95 | 15.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.45 · Draw 3.40 · Away 7.50 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- SC Villa matches average 7.94 total corners (3.91 won per game) across their last 33 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 27% of SC Villa matches.
- Maroons win 3.20 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.95 over their last 20.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 30% of Maroons matches.
- Games involving SC Villa produce 1.88 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 33%.
- Maroons matches average 1.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.9 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.6 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).
SC Villa — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | A | L Kitara FC | 1–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W URA | 1–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | W Mbarara City | 3–1 | 9–1 |
| 2026-05-05 | A | W URA | 2–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-04-30 | A | L Kitara FC | 0–2 | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Buhimba United Saints FC | 4–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | W Lugazi FC | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-16 | H | D Vipers SC | 1–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | W KCCA | 1–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-03-20 | H | W Maroons | 1–0 | 4–2 |
Maroons — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | A | L SC Villa | 0–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-03-14 | H | D UPDF FC | 0–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-03-07 | H | W Buhimba United Saints FC | 1–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-03-05 | A | D Express FC | 1–1 | 5–0 |
| 2026-02-20 | A | L SC Villa | 0–2 | 3–9 |
| 2026-02-12 | H | L Kitara FC | 0–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-01-27 | A | D Entebbe UPPC | 0–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-01-21 | H | D KCCA | 0–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-01-06 | A | L Buhimba United Saints FC | 0–1 | 4–2 |
| 2025-12-17 | H | W Express FC | 4–0 | 5–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win SC Villa vs Maroons?
- Our model gives SC Villa a 62% chance, the draw 24% and Maroons 14%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.