UK Friendlies
Scunthorpe vs Chesterfield Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.47 – 1.75
Avg goals3.21
Our pickAway
Scunthorpe 32%
Draw 25%
Chesterfield 43%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 43% | 2.31 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 3 | Over | 52% | 1.94 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.75 | Home +12% Value | 63% | 1.59 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Over | 53% | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 8.83 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.90 · Draw 3.70 · Away 2.00 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.5
Scunthorpe
8.7
Expected corners
4.3
Chesterfield
Scunthorpe corner stats · Chesterfield corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 53%
Under 47%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.7 corners in this match, with Scunthorpe winning 4.5 of them.
- Scunthorpe matches average 9.66 total corners (5.44 won per game) across their last 61 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 44% of Scunthorpe matches.
- Chesterfield win 5.26 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.95 over their last 57.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 56% of Chesterfield matches.
- Games involving Scunthorpe produce 3.21 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 71%.
- Chesterfield matches average 2.77 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.1 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 11 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.00 (52%).
Scunthorpe — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | A | W North Ferriby | 6–3 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | L Buxton | 0–2 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L Rochdale | 1–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-29 | H | W Southend | 1–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | L Eastleigh | 0–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | D Wealdstone | 1–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Brackley | 1–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L Gateshead | 0–2 | 2–8 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | D Hartlepool | 0–0 | 11–1 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | W Halifax | 2–1 | 8–2 |
Chesterfield — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | A | L Halifax | 2–3 | 2–7 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | D Sheff Utd | 0–0 | 5–8 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | D Notts County | 0–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | L Notts County | 0–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Swindon | 2–1 | 3–8 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Crewe | 2–0 | 0–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | D Fleetwood Town | 1–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-15 | H | W Grimsby | 2–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | D Tranmere | 1–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | W Barrow | 1–0 | 12–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Scunthorpe vs Chesterfield?
- Our model gives Scunthorpe a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Chesterfield 43%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Scunthorpe vs Chesterfield?
- The corner model projects 8.7 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 53% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.